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2022 AFL Round 11: Geelong vs Adelaide Preview & Betting Tips

May 26th 2022, 9:27pm, By: Andy Rosos

Cats vs Crows Betting Tips

Geelong will take on Adelaide on Saturday afternoon from 1.45pm at GMHBA Stadium. Will the Crows snap a four game losing streak or can the Cats cement a place in the top eight? 

Check out our preview and betting tips for the Saturday clash below and remember to head to our AFL Tips page for all of the Round 11 content. 

Geelong vs Adelaide Betting Tips

GMHBA Stadium, Saturday 28th May, 1.45pm (AEST)

Geelong

Injuries: Patrick Dangerfield, Jon Ceglar, Jack Henry, Max Holmes, Esava Ratugolea, Sam Menegola, Shaun Higgins, Quinton Narkle (Out) 

The Cats have a fair injury list at the moment, headlined by star midfielder Patrick Dangerfield. Danger continues to battle a calf injury that is likely to keep him out for at least a month. 

The Cats bounced back from a disappointing loss to the Saints in Round 9 with an impressive home win over the Power on the weekend. While they have been shaky on the road this season, they still look like a juggernaut down at GMHBA Stadium. 

Cameron Guthrie was dominant in the win with 38 touches while Jeremy Cameron continued his impressive form with 1 goal and 24 touches. 

Adelaide 

Injuries: Paul Seedsman, Rory Sloane (Out) Josh Rachele (Test) 

The Crows are looking good on the injury front. Along with the long term injuries to Seedsman and Sloane, youngster Josh Rachele and Taylor Walker are the only other concerns. 

The Crows were looking pretty good at 3-3 after six rounds, however, they have lost their last four on the trot to drop all the way down to 15th on the ladder. They went down by 21 points to the Saints on Saturday night after leading for the majority of the game at home. 

The Crows have desperately struggled to find avenues to goal across the last month. In their last five games, they have averaged just 64.0 points per game and without Taylor Walker in the side this week, the task becomes even harder.

Match Prediction

This game has the feeling of a strong under to me. The Cats are a top four defence in the competition, allowing just 62 points per game at GMHBA Stadium this season. I think there is a strong chance they keep the Crows to less than 60 points on the weekend. Take the unders.

Under 162.5 Points

$1.88 (2 Units)

 

Prop Bets

Jeremy Cameron racked up 24 touches on the weekend, his most in a game this season so far. He has averaged 14.7 per game but I think he is in line for a role a bit further up the field this week. Back him to have 16+. 

Jeremy Cameron 16+ Disposals ($1.96 at Bet Right) 

No Taylor Walker and no Josh Rachele in the line-up means there should be some ball to go around in the Adelaide forward line. James Rowe looked dangerous against the Saints on the weekend, kicking 1.1 but getting plenty of ball inside the Crows forward half. 

James Rowe 1+ Goal ($1.79 at Bet Right)

 

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