The final round of the 2019 AFLW season is upon us! There is still an undergoing battle for the last few spots in the finals and we have preview and betting tips for all five games below!
The last round of the AFLW regular season starts in Canberra with a Conference B matchup. The 3-3 Cats simply need to win this game by any margin and they'll reach the finals. Meanwhile, the 1-5 Giants are playing for pride in what has been a poor season despite recruiting well in the offseason (it seemed). GWS has lost back to back games by 30+ points against the Demons and Crows. They would love to upset the Cats top 2 hopes but the form just isn't there. Geelong is 3-0 against their Conference and the motivation of qualifying for the finals in their first AFLW season should be the major difference between the two sides.
At Casey Fields, the 4-2 Demons will host the 5-1 Crows in a crucial Conference A battle. Adelaide is flying high after a 5 game winning streak and they can secure top spot in the Conference with a victory. For Melbourne, the equation is much more difficult. They need to beat the Crows and hope the Kangaroos lose to the Dockers. Last week, the Dees were inaccurate in a 1 point win over the Bulldogs so they will need to convert their chances against the Crows. Adelaide is comfortably the best scoring team in the league and they're also number 1 for Inside 50s. However, Melbourne does play well at Casey Fields and with their top 2 hopes on the line, this should be a close affair with the Dees covering the line. They came within 4 points of the Kangaroos at this venue a few weeks ago and beat the Crows by 32 points in the last AFLW meeting.
The Saturday doubleheader will see another cracking contest as the Dockers face the Kangaroos at Fremantle Oval. Both sides are 5-1 on the season and fighting for a spot in the Conference A top two. Basically, the winning side will make the finals so the stakes cannot be higher! North travel to Perth on the back of a comfortable 22 point win over the Magpies. Which was a turnaround in form after losing to the Crows by 35 the week before. Similarly, the Dockers have hit form at the right end of the season after they were also smashed by Adelaide. In the last 2 weeks, they've beaten the Dogs by 3 goals and thrashed the Cats by 6 goals in Geelong. At home this season, the Dockers are undefeated in their 3 games so they do offer good value in the head to head odds as the underdog. However, the safer bet should be either team winning this by under 15 points. They both rank inside the top 3 teams for goals scored and also rank highly for Inside 50s. Which should see a close and high scoring matchup.
On Sunday, the Brisbane Lions will travel to Victoria Park as they take on the winless Magpies. Brisbane is currently sitting 3rd in Conference B with a 2-4 record. They can still make the top two if they win this game, however, they'll need the Cats to lose by a smallish margin as well. This does seem like a bit of danger game for Brisbane because they're just not playing well. They've lost 4 of 5 coming into this matchup and only average 17 points scored in their last 2. Despite an 0-6 record, Collingwood is finishing off the season with a few close losses. They obviously couldn't compete with the Kangaroos forward line last week but their previous 3 games against their Conference have all finished under a 10 point margin. But I think this a safe no bet because both sides can be very inconsistent.
The regular season concludes at Whitten Oval as the Bulldogs host the Blues. It's season over for the 2-4 Bulldogs but Carlton will be keen to finish first in Conference B. All they have to do is win this game and they secure top spot. There is still a chance they could miss the finals so I doubt they'll let this opportunity slip, especially after receiving the wooden spoon in 2018. Last week, the Blues beat the Lions by 16 points at home in a crucial Conference B battle. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs almost produced an upset at Docklands as they went down by a single point. They have started to find form in front of goals as they've scored 30+ points in 2 straight games. Which probably coincides with the return of Lochland and Huntington. However, the Blues just have more to play for at this point and I like their value at the underdog line. There's also motivation at this venue because Carlton was absolutely smashed in the last meeting, 86-13. They're a much-improved side in 2019 and I doubt that will happen again.
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