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2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Predictions Round 11

June 3rd 2019, 9:49pm, By: Brownlow Bandit

The most comprehensive AFL Brownlow Medal coverage returns for 2019 as the “Brownlow Bandit” brings you game-by-game analysis every round of the season to help you with your betting on the 2019 Brownlow Medal.

Our Brownlow Medal predictions and rolling Brownlow Medal tracker allow you to keep an eye on the betting markets throughout the season to build a green book so that by the time the 2019 Brownlow Medal night rolls around we’re assured of a profit.

You’ll be able to stay up to date with our live 2019 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to every single round-by-round voting posted there.

For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow voting system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.

If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2019 Brownlow Round 11 Vote Predictions below! 

Betfair

AFL Round 11 Brownlow Votes Predictions

North Melbourne 15.9.99 def Richmond 9.8.62

The Kangaroos delivered a win for debut coach Rhyce Shaw with a comfortable victory over a disappointing Tigers outfit. Ben Cunnington (31 disposals) and Shaun Higgins (30 disposals) were great in the middle, with Ben Brown (5 goals, 14 disposals) and Mason Wood (4 goals, 12 disposals) hitting the scoreboard. Bachar Houli was again among the best for the Tigers with 38 disposals and 6 tackles.

Ben Cunnington – 3
Shaun Higgins – 2
Bachar Houli – 0.5
Ben Brown – 0.5

Collingwood 11.9.75 def by Fremantle 11.13.79

Another thrilling win for the Dockers with Michael Walters again the hero with a late goal to snatch victory from the Pies. Nat Fyfe was instrumental with 32 disposals, with Brad Hill (29 disposals, 2 goals), Nathan Wilson (26 disposals) and Michael Walters (24 disposals, 2 goals) all providing good support. Scott Pendlebury continued his good form for the Pies with 29 disposals and 2 goals.

Nat Fyfe – 2.5
Brad Hill – 2.5
Scott Pendlebury – 1

GWS 19.12.126 def Gold Coast 6.7.43

The Giants flexed their muscle in the second half to run away with a big win against the Suns. Stephen Coniglio was back to his best with 36 disposals, 13 marks, 8 tackles and 3 goals for a monstrous 192 fantasy points. His teammates were equally dominant with Josh Kelly (36 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal) and Jacob Hopper (31 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal) finding plenty of leather, while Jeremy Finlayson was impressive with 23 disposals, 12 marks and 2 goals and Jeremy Cameron landed a 5-goal haul to go with 20 disposals and 8 marks.

Stephen Coniglio – 3
Josh Kelly – 2
Jeremy Finlayson – 1

Geelong 13.7.85 def Sydney 8.15.63

Geelong fought off a dogged Sydney team to move two games clear on top of the ladder. Patrick Dangerfield (29 disposals, 2 goals) and Tim Kelly (25 disposals, 1 goal) were best for the Cats while Tom Hawkins kicked 4 goals for the fourth consecutive week to go with 14 disposals. The Swans were led by Luke Parker who was excellent with 28 disposals, George Hewett (29 disposals, 8 marks) continues to improve every week and Jake Lloyd (34 disposals, 13 marks) won plenty of ball.

Patrick Dangerfield – 3
Luke Parker – 2
Tim Kelly – 1

Brisbane 12.13.85 def Hawthorn 10.6.66

After going goalless in the first quarter, the Lions stormed back to get hold of the Hawks and continue with their run to September. Jarryd Lyons (33 disposals, 8 marks) played his best game for his new club, with Lachie Neale (30 disposals, 8 marks) and Lewis Taylor (28 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal) also winning plenty of ball. They were setup by Harris Andrews (20 disposals, 9 marks) and Darcy Gardiner (21 disposals, 7 marks) who were superb down back.

Jarryd Lyons – 3
Harris Andrews – 2
Lachie Neale – 0.5
Lewis Taylor – 0.5

Melbourne 12.16.88 def by Adelaide 14.6.90

More heartbreak for Dees fans in 2019 with Adelaide getting home by just two points, after trailing by as much as 31 points in the third quarter, with a shot on goal by Sam Weideman in the dying seconds flying wide. Brad Crouch was superb with 29 disposals and 3 goals, Rory Laird (31 disposals) got his usual supply, while Tom Lynch was dynamic up forward with 26 disposals, 13 marks and 3 goals. Max Gawn won the battle of the big men with 30 hitouts to go with 25 disposals and 7 marks, while Clayton Oliver was everywhere in the first half before dropping off late to end with 34 disposals and a goal.

Brad Crouch – 2.5
Tom Lynch – 2.5
Max Gawn – 0.5
Clayton Oliver – 0.5

St.Kilda 9.15.69 def by Port Adelaide 22.7.139

The annual match held in China would see Port Adelaide run rampant to secure a huge win. Travis Boak won the Shanghai Medal for best afield with 33 disposals, 6 tackles and 2 goals. Robbie Gray wasn’t far behind him with 28 disposals, 5 tackles and 3 goals, Dan Houston (28 disposals) enjoyed some time in the midfield, and Jarrod Lienert (31 disposals, 8 marks) was also strong. Rowan Marshall was the lone Saint to stand tall with 24 disposals, 24 hitouts, 4 tackles and a goal.

Travis Boak – 3
Robbie Gray – 2
Dan Houston – 1

Essendon 11.8.74 def Carlton 4.9.33

The final nail in the coffin for Brendan Bolton after one of the worst AFL matches of the season saw Essendon get the four points. Dyson Heppell led from the front with 36 disposals and a goal, while Darcy Parish had one of his best games with 31 disposals and 2 goals. Cale Hooker (31 disposals, 11 marks), Michael Hurley (28 disposals, 12 marks) and Andrew McGrath (32 disposals) dominated across half back and may be a chance for votes, as will youngster Dylan Clarke. Playing just his second AFL match, Clarke was given the task of tagging Patrick Cripps, and he restricted the pre-season Brownlow favourite to just 11 disposals (2 kicks) while picking up 23 disposals and 10 tackles for himself.

Dyson Heppell – 3
Darcy Parish – 2
Dylan Clarke – 1

West Coast 21.7.133 def Western Bulldogs 10.12.72

A thumping for the Dogs as the Eagles look back on track in the premiership defence. Andrew Gaff (36 disposals, 8 marks) and Luke Shuey (30 disposals) won the midfield battle, while Jack Darling was back to his 2018 form with 6 goals from 15 disposals and 6 marks. Josh Dunkley (33 disposals, 1 goal) and Caleb Daniel (34 disposals) tried hard on a disappointing day for the Dogs.

Andrew Gaff – 2.5
Jack Darling – 2.5
Luke Shuey – 1

Betting Note: Gaff is a tricky one as historically he has gathered a lot of possessions but still flies under the radar with umpires. We have him for quite a few “half” votes already this season, and if a few go his way, then he’s going to be right in contention to win the Brownlow. With the Eagles finding form and winning plenty of games, then Gaff looks worth a speculative bet at $34 at Ladbrokes.

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