Saturday Horse Racing: 2016 Chester Manifold Stakes Preview & Tips

January 15th 2016, 9:42pm, By: tim_tips

Chester Manifold Stakes 1400m - Listed

The Listed Chester Manifold Stakes is the main event at Flemington this weekend and we have a field of nine set to line up over the 1400m.

Despite the small field this looks to be a very competitive race with six of the nine runners under double figure odds and just $1.30 separating the top 3 in the market.

There's a tiny bit of rain forecast for Melbourne on Friday but not enough to affect the track, and with 35 degrees predicted on Saturday we will definitely be racing on a Good track.

The pace in the race looks fairly standard, though it could heat up if the leading pair decide to take each other on. The two I speak about are Decircles and Tudor, who both love to lead. Either Decircles will cross over and lead from barrier 6, or Tudor will kick up inside him from barrier 2 and force Decircles to sit outside him.

Kareeming should use barrier 1 to box seat and Tried And Tired should come over from barrier 8 to take up a position handy to the speed. Behind that we should see General Groove on the rail, likely to be joined by Zupacharged, with Dances On Stars, Noela's Choice and Sarajevo settling at the back of the field.

DANCES ON STARS: Good run last start in Sydney to finish runner up in a fairly strong race. Only carried 55.5kg that day so the rise to 59kg is an obvious concern, as is the step up to 1400m. Not a winning chance for me.

TRIED AND TIRED: Finished 4th beaten a length behind Durendal last start where Zupacharged finished 2nd. Finds himself 1.5kg worse off at the weights to Zupacharged today which will make it tough to turn the tables, but the step up to 1400m and this being his 3rd run back from a spell are big positives. He'll run well.

DECIRCLES: Beaten comfortably last start but he does tend to improve at his 3rd run back from a spell and he holds a good record over this track and distance. Can't see him winning but he could hang on for a place at big odds.

KAREEMING: Stayer resuming after a couple months off the track and he'll find this field too quick for him over 1400m. 

GENERAL GROOVE: He's run a couple of nice races since resuming from a spell and comes into this at peak fitness at his third run back. Maps to get a sweet run from barrier 3 and he's finished in the top 2 at both his starts over this track and distance. Not my top pick but should go well.

NOELA'S CHOICE: Ran a huge race last start when she was first up from a spell. Finished within half a length of Zupacharged and she is sure to strip fitter 2nd up here. Gets a good draw, though she races back in the field. Decent chance.

SARAJEVO: Wasn't fully tested last start when finishing 8th behind Durendal so you can put a line through that. Never placed over 1400m is a concern and he will go back from barrier 9 and give them all a head start. Place chance.

ZUPACHARGED: Ran a bottler as our top selection in the Standish Handicap last start at 20/1 to finish 2nd behind Durendal. Stays at the same weight of 54kg and the step up to 1400m should suit him. He was going through the line better than most last start so that makes him a huge chance in this. Top pick.

TUDOR: He'll jump and lead with 54kg and Darren Gauci aboard. The 1400m is a query and he's never placed at this track either. He might give a sight out the front but I can't see him winning.

Summary

Small, competitive field but I am happy to stick with ZUPACHARGED who almost pulled off the win at 20/1 last start when we had him as our top pick. Was beaten by Durendal on that occasion who is a smart horse, but he was going through the line better than anything else which suggests the 1400m should suit him. Remains at 54kg and rates as a great winning chance.

Despite the rise in weight I think TRIED AND TIRED should run a good race. The step up to 1400m probably suits him better than most here and his record when 3rd up from a spell is very good. 

SARAJEVO didn't have much luck last start in the same race as Zupacharged. He will go back from barrier 9 and be saved for one last run. We know he has the talent to win but I'm still not convinced. Should run well but happy to take him on. 

NOELA'S CHOICE, DANCES ON STARS and GENERAL GROOVE are all place chances, while DECIRCLES could give a sight out the front stepping up to his most favoured distance.

1st ZUPACHARGED
2nd TRIED AND TIRED
3rd SARAJEVO
4th NOELA'S CHOICE

 

TIPS

NFL 2019-20: Week 11 Preview & Betting Tips

The 2019-20 NFL season is beginning to heat up and Week 11 gets underway Friday! We have a full preview and betting tips for some of the key games across the weekend here read more

2019 Formula 1: Brazil Grand Prix Betting Tips

There are just two races to go in the 2019 Formula 1 season and this weekend we head to Sao Paulo for the annual Brazil Grand Prix! Check out our full preview and betting tips for the race here read more

Horse Racing Tips: Thursday, November 14th

We're not far away from another big weekend of racing and there's plenty of meetings to get involved in this Thursday! Our team is in terrific form so check out Luke Krahe's best bets at Seymour, Pakenham and Beaudesert here! read more

2019-20 NBA Betting Tips: Thursday 14th November

There’s another fantastic seven-game slate in the NBA this Thursday, the 14th of November. We have a full preview and betting tips for some of the key games of the day! read more

ARTICLES

Understanding Betfair Staking Plans

In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more


Understanding the Betfair Markets

In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more


Understanding Back and Lay Betting on Betfair

Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more


Major Harness Races in Australasia

There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more


BLOGS

Boosted Odds For Melbourne Cup Punters

The Melbourne Cup has transformed from the race that stops the nation into the race that stops the world in recent years, and Palmerbet are giving punters more bang for their buck with boosted odds on all Melbourne Cup runners this Monday! read more


2019 Melbourne Cup Odds

The Melbourne Cup is known as the race that stops a nation, but is quickly becoming the race that stops the world! There's 42 horses left in contention for the 2019 Melbourne Cup, which will be held on the first Tuesday in November. Check out the latest betting odds for the race here! read more


Cox Plate Glory Awaits

Get fantastic odds of $4.50 for Te Akau Shark to finish in the top five in Saturday's Cox Plate thanks to Palmerbet. read more


The Luck of Playing the National Lottery

The lottery is one of the more fun ways to gamble, and who hasn't dreamt of one day striking it mega-rich by landing a jackpot! What are the odds of winning the lottery, and is there anything you can do to improve your odds? We take a look at the luck involved with playing the lottery! read more


PlayUp

Palmerbet