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Phoenix vs United Prediction & Tips: NBL27 Round 4

October 9th 2026, 10:29pm, By: Jake Smit

Phoenix vs United Betting Tips

There’s a double-header to look forward to on Saturday night in NBL27 Round 4! First up is the second edition of the Throwdown for the season, as the South East Melbourne Phoenix take on rivals Melbourne United. This is one you don’t want to miss. 

Check out our Phoenix vs United preview below and head to our NBL tips page for tips for every match this season!

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SEM Phoenix vs Melbourne United Prediction and Betting Tips: NBL27 Round 4

Phoenix Building Off High-Scoring Output

The South East Melbourne Phoenix enter Saturday's Throwdown looking to build momentum after snapping a three-game losing streak with a 113 to 96 win over the Illawarra Hawks. Following a frustrating patch where they dropped games to Perth and United, head coach Josh King saw his offence click into gear against Illawarra. The Phoenix knocked down 16 three-pointers, fueled by Nathan Sobey's 24 points and a strong stat line off the bench from Dash Daniels with 16 points, eight rebounds, and six assists. Having enjoyed a full week to recover and refine their execution, South East Melbourne return to their home floor with much clearer offensive rhythm.

 

United Responding After Recent Stumbles

Melbourne United head into Saturday after steadying their campaign with a 96 to 91 road win over the Adelaide 36ers on Wednesday night. That result halted a brief two-game slump where Jacob Chance's squad surrendered 107 points to the Taipans and suffered an 84 to 82 home defeat against the JackJumpers. Guard Cole Anthony led the way in Adelaide with 24 points, helping United bounce back to complement their earlier 86 to 61 blow-out victory over the Phoenix in Round 2. However, with Wednesday's trip to Adelaide marking their third game in nine days, United face a demanding turnaround that could test their depth late in the contest.

 

The Verdict

Saturday's fixture looms as a genuine 50/50 proposition in my estimation on the back of recent form and roster depth. While United retain the tactical discipline and big-game experience to win anywhere, backing up on short rest following a demanding midweek road trip leaves them vulnerable against a well-rested opponent. The Phoenix enter with momentum following their 113-point performance against Illawarra and hold a distinct scheduling advantage. With extra preparation time on their side, taking the extra points with the Phoenix offers solid value.

SEM Phoenix +3.5

$1.89 (1.5 Units)

 

Phoenix vs United Dabble Pick‘Em  

We’ve put together a 3-Leg Dabble Pick’Em for the Phoenix vs United clash that you can follow via the link below! You can also learn more about Dabble’s Pick’Em feature here.

Dash Daniels - Over 10.5 Points
Shea Ili Over 6.5 Points
Skylar Mays - Under 15.5 Points

Dabble Pick‘Em Odds Multiplier: 6.5x ($10 to win $65) - Click here to get involved!

Dabble Pick 'Em

 

Phoenix vs United Betting Odds & Match Info  

Date: Saturday, October 10th, 2026  
Time: 7:30pm AEDT  
Location: John Cain Arena, Melbourne 

Odds: Phoenix $2.40 vs United $1.58 
Line: +3.5  
Points: 189.5 

 

Where to Watch Phoenix vs United 

You can watch the Phoenix vs United live and ad-free on Kayo Sports. 

 

Back In our NBL27 Tips at Dabble! 

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Based on the South-West coast of Victoria, Jake has been an avid sports fanatic since he could walk. Aussie Rules, basketball, and soccer are his main three loves, but he's also got a soft spot for countless other sports.

Besides being a major contributor to our sports and fantasy content since 2017, Jake is our Content Manager & Editor and helps to plan and coordinate our team of writers every week. He's also one of the unlucky ones that is a keen Port Adelaide and Phoenix Suns fan, so go easy on him.

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