Season 2026 of the NRLW was one of the best on record with the highest quality of rugby league action see since the competition’s inception. With many teams growing in confidence, it’s surprising to see a repeat of last years decider with the Roosters against the Broncos. In the end, the strongest squads have prevailed and will continue the exhilarating on-field action come kick off. Before You Bet is here to take a detailed look at what is ahead in this contest with the aim of finding you a winner or two to add to your enjoyment.
Roosters vs Broncos Prediction & Betting Tips: NRLW Grand Final
Proving their worth and getting better
It was this time last season where the Roosters approached the Grand Final by keeping their undefeated streak alive. Last week, they were tested by the Raiders who put up a fight and made the Roosters work for their 20-10 home victory. Gallant, the Roosters appeared to relish the increased challenge and closed out the match strongly. With an equal share of possession, they completed at 83%, ran for 10.6m per carry, had 652 PCM’s, and 10 line breaks. For a team which appears a class above each week, it was positive to see them execute to such a standard with plenty to play for. Their defence was strong too; on top of missing just 27 tackles, they allowed just 2 line breaks while conceding just 8.4m per carry. There is no doubt that they will again be tested this week too.
Rediscovering their belief
Just when many were beginning to believe the Broncos dynasty was over, they travelled south to the Gold Coast and handed the 2nd place Titans a 20-8 home loss. A strong first half saw them lead 20-4 at HT, leading to a strong second half defensive display that removed all hope for the home side. With just 49% possession, they gave chances to their opponents by completing at just 76%, relying on their 8.6m per carry and 504 PCM’s to get them home. When the game was evenly poised, they relied upon their excellent players like Southwell, Upton, and Brigginshaw to dominate the contest and lead them to victory. If they are to capture back-to-back Premierships, they will again need a strong contribution from these players.
Stats that matter
- These two sides have met 13 times with the Roosters winning 6 and the Broncos 7. The Roosters won their Round 7 match in Brisbane 34-20, scoring 7 tries in a dominant display.
- The Roosters will be dreading the trip to this ground. They have just a 17% record here from 6 attempts. The Broncos have no issues, winning all 5 matches at this ground.
- The Roosters’ attack has been the most dominant in the competition’s history. They’ve average 37ppg, ahead of a very good Broncos attack that averages 30ppg. The Roosters are also slightly stronger defensive, conceding 10ppg compared to the Broncos 15ppg.
They won’t make the same mistake twice
It’s Deja-vu for the Roosters in 2026 but this time, they are better prepared than when they were defeated by the Broncos last season. They were caught out last year and now, with Aiken at halfback, they will be ready to pressure the Broncos for the full 70 minutes. The Broncos have a team capable of disrupting their opponent’s momentum, but they are guilty of allowing teams to score more points than they should. The fact that the Raiders performed to the standard they did last week will serve as a ‘wake up’ call for the undefeated Roosters.
An upset victory to the traveling team wouldn’t surprise, but it would go against the form of each team this season. The Roosters performed strongly to win their Round 7 match and are a better team than they were heading into that contest. In terms of a margin, the fact that this is a Grand Final should keep things close, with the Roosters made to work harder than they usually would for a victory in the regular season. Take them to win by just 2 converted tries, with the winner only emerging late in this game.
Roosters 1-12
$2.70 (2 Units)
Roosters vs Broncos Same Game Multi
Leg 1 = Total Points Over 41.5 – just look at their most recent match against one another and their season averages throughout 2026.
Leg 2 = Upton to score – she has been at her dominant best this year and recently, has scored 6 tries in her past 5 matches. Look for her again to be looming as a threat around the ball, capable of scoring from anywhere on the field.
Leg 3 = Sergis to score – rewarded for scoring the most tries in the NRLW competition on Wednesday night, Sergis has been in devastating form this season. The Roosters know this and will aim to get her the ball as much as possible throughout the game; she is the type of player who can create something out of nothing also.
Roosters vs Broncos Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Sunday 5th October
Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney
Time: 4pm (AEST)
Odds: Roosters $1.45 vs Broncos $2.75
Line: -7.5
Points: 41.5
Where to Watch the NRLW Grand Final
Watch the Roosters vs Broncos match live on Channel 9.
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