Round 15 has seen the Brisbane Lions and Western Bulldogs firm in the AFL Premiership betting after strong wins. The Lions upset Geelong on their home turf and now have a clear hold on second spot on the ladder behind Collingwood. Meanwhile the Bulldogs are now into the Top 8 after a big win and are unlikely to be removed which makes them a genuine threat with their stars up and firing. The Giants and Suns are on the edge of the Top 8 after the Giants won the Expansion Cup in a thrilling encounter.
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote predictions and projections using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2025 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page and check out the latest Brownlow Odds.
2025 AFL Brownlow Round 15 Overview
The match between the Giants and Suns will be interesting for Brownlow votes - Gold Coast Sun young gun Noah Anderson was sensational but Tom Green likely pinched the three votes in the Giants win. Either way, we now have Anderson at the top of our Brownlow leaderboard and, as we've been suggesting for weeks, he looks value in the Brownlow betting markets. Fremantle's Caleb Serong might also be in the votes in Round 15 as he starts to narrow in on the leaders as well. Nick Daicos, Marcus Bontempelli, Isaac Heeney and Harry Sheezel are also a chance to poll votes this round.
Check out our 2025 Round 15 Brownlow votes below and our updated 2025 Brownlow leaderboard here!
2025 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 15 Match Analysis
Fremantle 16.8.104 def Essendon 9.9.63
The round started with Freo too strong for the Bombers with Luke Jackson (21 disposals, 48 hitouts, 10 clearances, 3 goals) a dominant force all over the ground against a debutant opponent. Caleb Serong (35 disposals, 7 clearances, 2 goals) will be in the Brownlow votes, while Jordan Clark (33 disposals, 8 marks), Luke Ryan (32 disposals, 12 marks) and Andrew Brayshaw (29 disposals, 1 goal) all won plenty of ball. Jye Caldwell (32 disposals, 8 clearances) didn’t stop trying for the Bombers.
Luke Jackson - 3
Caleb Serong - 2
Jordan Clark - 1
Geelong 6.15.51 def by Brisbane 14.8.92
It was Patrick Dangerfield’s 350th but Brisbane spoiled the party with a very impressive away win. Cam Rayner was the most dynamic player on the ground with 19 disposals, 5 marks, 5 clearances and 3 goals. Josh Dunkley (30 disposals, 10 tackles), Jarrod Berry (26 disposals, 10 marks) and Dayne Zorko (33 disposals, 7 marks) were typically prolific while Logan Morris (5 goals, 13 disposals, 8 marks) kicked a bag for the second week running. Tom Atkins (21 disposals, 6 tackles, 8 clearances) battled hard all night for the Cats.
Cam Rayner - 3
Josh Dunkley - 2
Logan Morris - 1
Carlton 10.13.73 def by North Melbourne 13.6.84
The Roos were up by 46 points in the third quarter and probably deserved to win by more, but a win is a win as the Blues are officially in trouble. Tom Powell (34 disposals, 8 clearances), Harry Sheezel (30 disposals, 9 marks, 1 goal), Luke Parker (28 disposals, 8 tackles, 8 clearances) and Luke Davies-Uniacke (30 disposals, 7 clearances) were excellent in the middle, while Colby McKercher (29 disposals, 2 goals) was electric at half-back. George Hewett (31 disposals, 8 tackles, 8 clearances) was best for the Blues.
Tom Powell - 3
Colby McKercher - 1.5
Harry Sheezel - 1.5
Port Adelaide 7.10.52 def by Sydney 9.17.71
An inaccurate Swans were able to do enough to get an important win against the Power. Isaac Heeney (28 disposals, 2 goal) roamed beautifully around the ground, while Callum Mills (27 disposals, 8 marks) and Nick Blakey (22 disposals, 1 goal) were excellent at half-back. Brodie Grundy (22 disposals, 8 marks, 34 hitouts, 6 clearances) took on two opponents and was still too strong. Zac Butters (28 disposals, 8 marks, 6 clearances, 1 goal) was one of the few to stand tall for the Power.
Isaac Heeney - 3
Brodie Grundy - 2
Callum Mills - 1
Collingwood 16.12.108 def St Kilda 11.8.74
The Pies were challenged but had too much class for the Saints. Darcy Cameron (19 disposals, 8 marks, 28 hitouts, 6 clearances, 2 goals) started things off in the middle, while Nick Daicos (30 disposals, 1 goal) did a great job to fight off a hard tag. Scott Pendlebury (22 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal), Patrick Lipinski (26 disposals, 9 marks, 2 goals) and Josh Daicos (30 disposals, 6 marks) were all very important in the win. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (35 disposals, 7 marks) was again a stand out for the Saints.
Darcy Cameron - 3
Nick Daicos - 2
Patrick Lipinski - 0.5
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera - 0.5
GWS Giants 16.10.106 def Gold Coast 14.15.99
A great match between the Giants and the Suns saw the Giants roar home with eight goals in the last quarter to pinch the victory. Tom Green was immense with 31 disposals, 9 tackles, 1 goal and a massive 16 clearances. Finn Callaghan (28 disposals, 8 tackles), Lachie Ash (33 disposals) and Toby Greene (17 disposals, 11 tackles, 2 goals) were all very important in the win. The stars for the Suns can hold their heads high with Noah Anderson (42 disposals, 7 clearances, 2 goals), Touk Miller (37 disposals, 7 tackles, 2 goals) and Matt Rowell (34 disposals, 8 tackles, 12 clearances) all putting in huge performances.
Tom Green - 2.5
Noah Anderson - 2.5
Touk Miller - 1
Western Bulldogs 21.9.135 def Richmond 8.8.56
The Dogs obliterated the Tigers to finish the round with a big win to climb back into the Top 8. Marcus Bontempelli (36 disposals, 7 clearances, 3 goals) was allowed to do as he pleased, while Sam Darcy (5 goals, 19 disposals, 8 marks) was an unstoppable force up forward. Tim English (24 disposals, 9 marks, 28 hitouts, 6 clearances, 2 goals), Sam Davidson (27 disposals, 9 marks, 1 goal), Rory Lobb (21 disposals, 13 marks) and Bailey Williams (25 disposals, 15 marks) were all very good. Nick Vlastuin (28 disposals, 7 marks) and Tim Taranto (28 disposals, 6 tackles, 6 clearances) were best for Richmond.
Marcus Bontempelli - 3
Sam Darcy - 2
Tim English - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
