Round 11 started off with a in blaze of glory with a brilliant match between the Dogs and Cats, and then ended with a hard-nosed struggle between the Saints and Suns that could only attract a measly crowd of 13,000 to Marvel Stadium. In between, the Pies and Lions confirmed their status as the teams to beat this season. The Crows are on the rise, while the Hawks would want to steady their ship as they hunt September action.
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote predictions and projections using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2025 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page and check out the latest Brownlow Odds.
2025 AFL Brownlow Round 11 Overview
Round 11 was a big one for a few of our Brownlow favourites. Nick Daicos was likely deemed best on ground for Collingwood against the Kangaroos, while Jordan Dawson and his Crows feasted upon the Eagles. These two are the current Brownlow favourites and most likely to contend for Charlie this season. The unknown might be Geelong star recruit Bailey Smith who has had an amazing season, but we don't have him a clear stand out in many games. So the question is will he attract enough 3 votes to win the Brownlow?
Other possible contenders who are in the votes in Round 11 include Noah Anderson, Caleb Serong, Zach Merrett and Lachie Neale.
Check out our 2025 Round 11 Brownlow votes below and our updated 2025 Brownlow leaderboard here!

2025 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 11 Match Analysis
Geelong 20.7.127 def Western Bulldogs 16.17.113
A fantastic match to start the round with the Cats holding off the Dogs in a high-scoring shootout. Bailey Smith was all the hype against his old club and he was excellent with 33 disposals, 7 tackles and 6 clearances. Teammate Max Holmes was just as good with 33 disposals, 8 clearances and a Goal of the Year contender. However the damage was done up forward with Jeremy Cameron (6 goals, 14 disposals, 8 marks) and Shannon Neale (5 goals, 16 disposals) both with their kicking boots on. Ed Richards (28 disposals, 7 tackles, 10 clearances, 2 goals) and Matthew Kennedy (25 disposals, 7 marks, 3 goals) were both excellent and will be unlucky to miss votes as well.
Jeremy Cameron - 3
Max Holmes - 1.5
Bailey Smith - 1.5
Essendon 11.15.81 def Richmond 8.10.58
Dreamtime at the G saw the Bombers grind out a win in a scrappy match. Nic Martin was the stand out with his relentless run as he amassed 35 disposals, 9 marks, 8 tackles, 6 clearances and 2 goals in a superb performance. Zach Merrett (37 disposals, 8 marks, 7 tackles) was typically prolific while Sam Durham (26 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal), Xavier Duursma (27 disposals, 9 marks), Andrew McGrath (31 disposals) and Archie Roberts (34 disposals, 6 marks) will fight it out for the minor vote. Sam Banks (29 disposals, 8 marks) and Tim Taranto (23 disposals, 2 goals) were best for the Tigers.
Nic Martin - 3
Zach Merrett - 2
Sam Durham - 1
Carlton 12.10.82 def by GWS Giants 17.8.110
The Giants pulled clear late in an entertaining match to leave the Blues’ season on the ropes. Toby Greene was superb in his 250th match to collect 28 disposals, 9 marks, 6 clearances and 3 goals in a best-on-ground performance. Lachie Ash (28 disposals, 6 marks) and Tom Green (25 disposals, 6 clearances) provided good support. Sam Docherty (30 disposals, 1 goal), Patrick Cripps (25 disposals, 7 tackles, 8 clearances, 1 goal) and Adam Cerra (23 disposals, 6 tackles, 1 goal) were best for the Blues.
Toby Greene - 3
Lachie Ash - 1
Sam Docherty - 1
Patrick Cripps - 1
Hawthorn 8.12.60 def by Brisbane 14.9.93
Brisbane turned their recent form around as they came to the MCG and conquered against the Hawks. Callum Ah Chee was a star up forward with 4 goals from 20 disposals and 20 marks. Lachie Neale (32 disposals), Dayne Zorko (33 disposals, 9 marks, 996 metres gained) and Will Ashcroft (26 disposals, 8 clearances, 1 goal) won plenty of ball for the Lions. Connor Macdonald (20 disposals, 10 marks, 3 goals), Josh Weddle (23 disposals, 6 marks, 1 goal) and Karl Amon (29 disposals, 7 marks) were best for the Hawks.
Callum Ah Chee - 3
Lachie Neale - 2
Connor Macdonald - 1
North Melbourne 9.9.63 def by Collingwood 15.18.108
North were in the contest for three quarters but the Pies ran rampant in the last to finish comfortable winners. Nick Daicos was huge in the second half to finish with 38 disposals and 6 marks, while Ned Long (29 disposals, 14 tackles, 6 clearances) was tough all game. Josh Daicos (31 disposals) and Jamie Elliott (5 goals, 11 disposals) were also valuable. Luke Davies-Uniacke (26 disposals, 6 marks, 7 clearances), Tom Powell (28 disposals, 1 goal) and Riley Hardeman (28 disposals, 10 marks) were good for the Roos.
Nick Daicos - 3
Ned Long - 2
Jamie Elliott - 1
Fremantle 15.10.100 def Port Adelaide 7.9.51
The Dockers were too strong for the Power in wet conditions with ruckman Luke Jackson leading the way with 21 disposals, 38 hitouts, 8 clearances and a goal. Murphy Reid (4 goals, 18 disposals) was a star up forward while Caleb Serong (29 disposals, 12 clearances) worked into it in the second half to be the leading ball winner for the Dockers. Ollie Wines (33 disposals, 8 tackles, 7 clearances) and Connor Rozee (27 disposals, 6 tackles) tried hard for the Power.
Luke Jackson - 3
Murphy Reid - 2
Caleb Serong - 1
Adelaide 19.14.128 def West Coast 8.14.62
The Crows demolished the Eagles and had winners all over the ground. Jordan Dawson is right into one of the favourites in the Brownlow betting odds after another fine performance with 27 disposals, 6 marks, 9 tackles, 8 clearances and 2 goals. Reilly O’Brien (18 disposals, 45 hitouts, 1 goal) dominated in the ruck, while Josh Rachele (5 goals, 16 disposals, 6 tackles) hit the scoreboard. Izak Rankine (23 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) and Sam Berry (26 disposals, 6 marks, 9 tackles, 1 goal) were next best.
Jordan Dawson - 3
Josh Rachele - 2
Reilly O’Brien - 1
Melbourne 19.17.131 def Sydney 12.6.78
Melbourne continue their resurgence in season 2025 while Sydney will now start planning towards next season. Kysaiah Pickett was incredible with 5 goals to go with 24 disposals and 6 clearances in a wonderful game. Clayton Oliver (31 disposals, 12 tackles, 1 goal) and Christian Petracca (28 disposals, 1 goal) were typically busy, Ed Langdon (31 disposals, 8 tackles) and Christian Salem (31 disposals, 11 marks, 6 clearances, 1 goal) were good, while Max Gawn (21 disposals, 9 tackles, 35 hitouts, 7 tackles, 7 clearances, 1 goal) was as big as ever. Isaac Heeney (22 disposals, 6 tackles, 3 goals) and Chad Warner (27 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) tried hard for the Swans.
Kysaiah Pickett - 3
Clayton Oliver - 2
Christian Petracca - 1
St Kilda 8.13.61 def by Gold Coast 12.8.80
The Suns ground out a mature victory over the Saints to finish the round and keep themselves on track for a maiden finals berth. Noah Anderson is a dark horse for the Brownlow as he will pick up more votes for his 36 disposals and 11 clearances. Touk Miller (30 disposals, 6 marks, 1 goal), Joel Jeffrey (27 disposals, 9 marks, 1 goal) and Jarrod Witts (12 disposals, 49 hitouts, 6 tackles, 6 clearances) were also important in the win. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (36 disposals, 1 goal) had another great game, while Jack Steele (33 disposals, 7 marks) and Mitch Owens (25 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goals) were also good for the Saints.
Noah Anderson - 3
Touk Miller - 1
Joel Jeffrey - 1
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera - 1

For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
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