AFL Round 11 gets underway this Thursday night with a huge clash between Geelong and the Western Bulldogs down at GMHBA Stadium. Both sides are currently sitting in the top eight on 6 wins, making this effecitvely an 8 point game in the finals race. Geelong are coming off a huge win against Port Adelaide in Adealdie, while the Western Bulldogs also thrashed Essendon, meaning both teams form is at the top level for this contest.
As always this is all about the daily fantasy and this massive Thursday night clash draws another massive $60,000 prize pool at Draftstars in their main contest. In addition, there are a variety of alternate contests:
AFL $60,000+ Cats vs Bulldogs
AFL $5,000+ Cats vs Bulldogs High Roller ($150 Entry)
AFL $3,000+ Cats vs Bulldogs Mini ($2 Entry)
If you're new to the Daily Fantasy Sports scene and want to join in on the fun, simply join Draftstars via this link!
AFL Daily Fantasy Lineup Tips: Round 11 Geelong vs Western Bulldogs
AFL Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Where to Attack?
For a strong team, Geelong have been conceding plenty of fantasy points this season. It has long been a trend for this iteration of the Cats team that they give up points to inside midfielders and that has continued this season with them giving up the second most points to the position in the league. They are also giving up points to key forwards (fifth most in the league) and above average points to designated kickers and general defenders up back.
The Western Bulldogs on the other hand are much more stingy. They are giving up below average fantasy points across the majority of the positions except for key forwards where they are giving up the second most in the league. This has long been a trend for the Bulldogs who do not have a lock down key back.
Game Script – Geelong key forwards, Bulldogs midfielders and backs
AFL Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Our Value Fantasy Picks
Oisin Mullin ($6,000) is an interesting option on this slate. A single game where value can be hard to find and there are plenty of premium options in great spots. Mullin attended 80% of the Cats centre bounces last week and 90% three weeks ago. In these two games he notched up 58 and 50 fantasy points. This isn’t belting down the house but on this slate for this price point, it is a solid return in value. Keep SUB WATCH activated and if Mullin starts as the sub I would look at switching to Ted Clohsey ($6,000) who likely has higher upside as shown by his 91 point game earlier this year.
Shannon Neale ($7,530) is another solid value option with upside on this slate. Neale is coming off a season high 73 points last week and as noted above, will be matching up against the Bulldogs who are giving up the second most points in the league this year to key forwards. Depending on how you are structuring your lineups and where you want to spend, the alternate play to Neale is to spend up on Jeremy Cameron ($12,320).
AFL Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Our Mid Price Fantasy Picks
Mitch Duncan ($11,050) is playing his 300th game this week and assuming he starts on the ground, I would expect the side to be looking to get the ball into his hands at every opportunity to celebrate the milestone. He will have a nice role across the backline in a place that he is very comfortable down at GHMBA. This is more of a narrative play than anything statistical or form related, however he does have two games of 79 points from his three starts this season.
AFL Geelong vs Western Bulldogs: Our Premium Fantasy Picks
Tim English ($15,600) draws the third best matchup in the league this year with the Geelong ruck department giving up over 9 points per game above league. He will dominate in the ruck contests and should still get enough around the ground to rack fantasy points. English is in top form after a slower start to the year averaging 110 points per game over his last six matches.
Bailey Smith ($16,990) is another narrative play that we are loving on this slate. There will be plenty of build up to this matchup against his old club that has included a little war of words in the media between himself and Bontempelli a few weeks ago. Smith has been in career best form playing through the midfield at Geelong (hasn’t gone under 119 points in the last four weeks) and will want to put that on full display against his old coach. Spend up, lock and load!
Suggested Draftstars Team
Weather Report for Thursday, May 22nd
Geelong - 16 degrees and partly cloudy. Great winter conditions for footy
AFL Betting Markets Round 11: Geelong vs Western Bulldogs
Geelong ($1.86) vs Western Bulldogs ($1.98)
Points: 178.5
Line: Geelong -1.5
Also, be sure to check out our full AFL Previews and Betting Tips for each match. Our experts break down each individual game and highlight some key bets that you can follow!
