The Bulldogs have been a more consistent attacking outfit than Geelong, with the Cats only kicking above three goals once this season. For comparison, the Dogs are averaging 31 points per game in Season 7. Geelong haven't been a fast side with their ball movement this season, and their defensive structures have come unstuck on the wider grounds away from Geelong this season.
This is going to be a tight contest particularly with inclement weather expected in Ballarat on Saturday, and the Dogs have had a knack of winning close games this season. Geelong are yet to beat a top eight side this season, and they haven’t been able to control games defensively away from Kardinia Park this season.
Western Bulldogs -4.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
St Kilda vs Collingwood
Saturday 4:10pm AEST, Moorabbin Oval
Collingwood heads to Moorabbin for the first time on Sunday afternoon, looking to make it five wins from six games in Season 7. The Pies take on a St Kilda outfit that was thumped to the tune of 50 points by Geelong last week, and will be desperate to bounce back.
Despite the loss the Saints are within a game of the top eight, with a win over Collingwood crucial to their finals aspirations. Collingwood grinded out an eleven point win in tough conditions against Essendon, and are sitting comfortably in third. The Pies have had even contributions across the board this season, as they continue to get the job done without dominating any statistical areas.
Collingwood are 2-0 against St Kilda, with wins by 27 and 46 point margins. The Saints have lost three in a row by an average margin of 30 points, and it’s difficult to see them getting close to the Pies on Sunday afternoon. Despite the Saints' improvement this season, Collingwood have too much established talent for St Kilda to compete with.
Collingwood -24.5
$1.90 (2 Units)
More AFLW Round 6 Tips
Hawthorn vs West Coast - Skybus Stadium, Friday 6:10pm AEST
West Coast have finally begun to show improvements this season, winning two of their opening five games, and were unlucky to not win the Derby last week. Hawthorn finally picked up their first win in Round 5, however their average losing margin over the first four weeks of the season was 36 points. The Eagles will be too good for the young Hawks.
Tip: West Coast -13.5, $1.90 with Ladbrokes
Carlton vs GWS - Henson Park, Saturday 12:10pm AEST
Two sides desperate to bounce back after being smashed last week, with the Blues losing by 42 and the Giants losing by 96 points. GWS have scored just ten points across their last two games, and Carlton have a 5-0 record across the history of the competition.
Tip: Carlton -14.5, $1.90 with Ladbrokes
Richmond vs Gold Coast - Punt Road, Saturday 6:10pm AEST
Richmond pulled off the upset of the season knocking off the undefeated Lions, and will be looking to extend their winning streak to four games when they host the Suns. The Tigers will be looking to nullify Gold Coast’s attacking game and keep this to a low scoring encounter. Richmond have played Punt Road well this season, and the Suns are yet to win away from home this season.
Tip: Richmond -12.5, $1.90 with Ladbrokes
Brisbane vs Essendon - Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex, Sunday 1:10pm AEST
Brisbane will be seething after their shock loss to Richmond last week, and will be looking to bounce back in a big way. The Lions were averaging 66 points per game across the first four weeks of the season, but were held to just one goal last week. The young Bombers could be in for a painfull afternoon in Queensland.
Tip: Brisbane -30.5, $1.90 with Ladbrokes
Fremantle vs Melbourne - Fremantle Oval, Sunday 3:10pm AEST
Fremantle are finally on the board in Season 7 with a three point win over the Eagles in the Western Derby, however a reality check is inbound with the Demons coming to town. Melbourne got their mojo back with a 42 win over Carlton last week, and demolishing Fremantle by 88 points the last time they met, Melbourne will be confident of coming out convincing winners.
Tip: Melbourne -24.5, $1.90 with Ladbrokes
North Melbourne vs Sydney - Punt Road, Sunday 5:10pm AEST
The Swans missed their biggest opportunity to pick up a win last week in a four point defeat to the Hawks, and could be in for a painful matchup against the Roos this weekend. Sydney had an average losing margin of 43 points in the opening four games of the season, with three of those four losses coming against teams outside of the eight, it’s scary to think of what North Melbourne could do to them.
Tip: North Melbourne -46.5, $1.90 with Ladbrokes
