Sunday afternoon football continues with a rematch of the 2022 Preliminary Final, as the Swans travel to the MCG to take on Collingwood. Can Sydney break out of their slump? Or will the Pies keep their spot on top of the ladder?
BeforeYouBet has you covered for every game of the 2023 AFL season with previews, best bets and same game multis for every game. Make sure to head to our AFL Tips page to stay up to date with all of our content! And if you're having a bet on the footy this weekend, why not bet with BoomBet?
AFL Round 8 Preview & Betting Tips
Collingwood vs Sydney
Sunday 3:20pm AEST, May 7th, MCG
Once again Craig McRae’s side found a way to overcome a deficit at three quarter time, as the Pies picked up a thrilling one point victory against Adelaide in Round 7. Collingwood trailed by 22 points early in the last quarter, and did not lead until the final 30 seconds of the game, but once again the Magpies came up victorious in a close encounter.
Sydney were on the opposite scale to Collingwood, as the Swans conceded the final four goals of the game against GWS in a one point loss to their crosstown rivals. Last year’s Grand Finalists have lost four of their last five games and are sitting eleventh on the ladder.
The Swans regain Robbie Fox and Justin McInerny, with Aaron Francis, Angus Sheldrick and Dylan Stephens all omitted. Collingwood have two big inclusions with Scott Pendlebury and Mason Cox returning from injury, while Nathan Kreuger (ribs), Jack Ginnivan (omitted) and Will Kelly (omitted) are out of the side.
Collingwood’s two fourth quarter comebacks have been built on dominating contest and territory. In the final quarter last week the Pies recorded +12 clearances, +10 inside 50’s and +9 contested possessions. It didn’t happen as quickly as it did against Essendon, however the weight of numbers is always going to overwhelm opposing sides.
This clash marks the first time Sydney will play Collingwood at the MCG for a decade, where the Swans have lost three of their last four games.
Collingwood’s brand of football has been well and truly on track this season, with the Pies ranking 1st for inside 50’s, 2nd for contested possessions, 2nd for ground ball gets and 5th for clearances. They win the ball at the source, keep the ball in their half of the ground, and allow their defence to get set behind the ball to win it back to create repeat inside 50’s.
The Magpies are the second best defensive team in the competition through the first seven weeks of the season, holding teams to an average score of 75 points per game. In the last three weeks following their only loss of the season, the Pies have held their opponents to an average score of 66 points per game.
This will be an entertaining contest between two quality outfits at the home of football, however it is simply impossible to pick against Collingwood at the moment. The 1-39 market provides plenty of value in this fixture with five of Collingwood’s six wins this season having come by less than 34 points.
Collingwood 1-39
$2.25 (1 Unit)
Same Game Multi
The easiest way to place your Same Game Multi is to click on the BoomBet BetShare banner below! This will add our SGM selections straight into your BoomBet bet slip! You can then enter how much you wish to wager and with one click, your bet has been placed!
Nick Daicos 30+ Disposals: It’s difficult to find new words to describe what Nick Daicos has done to start his career, however it’s clear that we are witnessing greatness. Daicos is averaging a league high 35 disposals per game, and despite having a “quiet” game last week, Daicos still managed to record 27 disposals. Daicos will no doubt receive attention from Ryan Clarke, however he’s shown plenty to give confidence that he can work through any tag.
Tom Mitchell 25+ Disposals: Tom Mitchell was brought to Collingwood to be a centre bounce midfielder, and the former Brownlow medalist is relishing the role at his new club. Mitchell has attended 62% of centre bounces, the third most for Collingwood midfielders in 2022 and has averaged 25 disposals per game.
Tom Papley 2+ Goals: Tom Papley is having a superb season kicking 16 goals this season, recording multiple goals in four of his seven games. Papley has been in excellent touch against Collingwood, with returns of 3, 2 and 2 goals in his last three games against the Magpies.
Same Game Multi Odds: $3.30
