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2023 AFL Brownlow Medal: Round 23 Votes

August 22nd 2023, 2:50pm, By: Brownlow Bandit

The AFL season rolls on as we continue with our in-depth 2023 Brownlow Medal coverage. Every game, every round, we'll have 2023 Brownlow Medal tips, analysis and information, to make your 2023 Brownlow Medal night a profitable one!

As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote allocations using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.

For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2023 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page.

2023 AFL Brownlow Round 23 Overview

Can Nick Daicos be caught or will his nearest Brownlow challengers stumble at the final hurdle?

According to our Brownlow predictions, we still have three players in contention for the 2023 Brownlow Medal. We have Daicos holding the lead into the final round of the season, but both Zak Butters and Marcus Bontempelli are within range to overtake right on the finish line. If you followed our Brownlow betting tips, you could've got Bontempelli pre-season at $11, Daicos two weeks ago at $6.00 and Butters last week at $15, for a really nice green book!

Bontempelli was superb in Round 23, but the Dogs did suffer a poor loss against the bottom-placed Eagles. If Bontempelli can take the three in a losing effort, then he'll be right in the hunt for Charlie next week.

Meanwhile Zak Butters is finishing the season in a flurry and is likely to have picked up another three votes in Round 23 for the Power's win over Freo. How votes are spread between Butters and Rozee during the season, will go a long way to deciding his Brownlow fate.

Other contenders in Christian Petracca and Tim Taranto are unlikely to poll any Brownlow votes in Round 23 and now appear out of the running.

Check out our Round 23 Brownlow votes below!

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2023 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 23 Match Analysis

Collingwood 15.10.100 def by Brisbane 19.10.124

The Lions kicked off Round 23 with a fantastic win over the Pies to now challenge them for the top spot on the AFL ladder and leave the Pies with the wobbles on the eve of the finals. Lachie Neale (31 disposals, 10 clearances) was superb to be best, with support from Oscar McInerney (16 disposals, 41 hitouts), Conor McKenna (26 disposals, 6 marks), Keidean Coleman (21 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal), Dayne Zorko (23 disposals, 9 marks) and Charlie Cameron (4 goals, 8 disposals). Scott Pendlebury (31 disposals, 6 tackles, 12 clearances, 1 goal) continues to defy his age with a fantastic game for the Pies.

Lachie Neale - 3
Scott Pendlebury - 2
Oscar McInerney - 1
 

Richmond 14.17.101 def North Melbourne 10.12.72

The Tigers chaired off Trent Cotchin and Jack Riewoldt in style with a comfortable win over the Roos. Dusty Martin was at his finest with 31 disposals, 7 marks and 3 goals, and Shai Bolton (25 disposals, 7 marks, 4 goals) wasn’t fair behind. Nick Larkey stood tall for the Roos with 6 goals from 13 disposals, while Tarryn Thomas (25 disposals, 2 goals) and Harry Sheezel (37 disposals, 7 marks) showed their class.

Dustin Martin - 3
Shai Bolton - 2
Nick Larkey - 1

 

Gold Coast 13.9.87 def by Carlton 13.13.91

Carlton will officially play finals for the first time in a decade with a narrow win over the Suns after coming back from 40 points down to take the points. Charlie Curnow (5 goals, 18 disposals, 6 marks) was the catalyst with four goals in the second term to get the Blues back into it, along with a match-saving mark in defence in the dying moments of the game. Nic Newman (31 disposals, 9 marks) and George Hewett (23 disposals, 10 tackles) were also good for the Blues. Sam Flanders (36 disposals), Touk Miller (29 disposals, 8 tackles, 1 goal) and David Swallow (4 goals, 16 disposals, 8 marks) were best for the Suns.

Charlow Curnow - 3
Sam Flanders - 2
Nic Newman - 0.5
David Swallow - 0.5

 

GWS Giants 25.12.162 def Essendon 5.6.36

It was meant to be a virtual elimination final, but the Giants whalloped the Dons to send them crashing out of the season. Jesse Hogan was the destroyer with a massive game - 9 goals, 24 disposals, 17 marks and a whopping 188 AFL Fantasy points. A clear three Brownlow votes! Tom Green (39 disposals, 10 clearances, 1 goal), Callan Ward (30 disposals, 7 marks, 6 clearances), Stephen Coniglio (31 disposals, 8 clearances, 1 goal) and Harry Himmelberg (30 disposals, 8 marks, 1 goal) all racked up plenty of ball as the Giants eye off September action.

Jesse Hogan - 3
Tom Green - 2
Callan Ward - 1

 

St Kilda 12.16.88 def Geelong 8.7.55

The premiership defence is over the Cats after going down to the Saints on Saturday night. Jack Sinclair (38 disposals, 10 marks), Rowan Marshall (24 disposals, 10 marks, 28 hitouts, 1 goal), Brad Hill (31 disposals, 13 marks) and Brad Crouch (29 disposals, 11 clearances) were dominant for the Saints. The Cats had few winners with Tom Stewart (30 disposals, 13 marks) and Mitch Duncan (27 disposals, 11 marks, 1 goal) their best.

Jack Sinclair - 3
Rowan Marshall - 2
Brad Hill - 0.5
Brad Crouch - 0.5

 

Adelaide 10.13.73 def by Sydney 11.8.74

The most controversial match of the season has seen Sydney escape with the points after a Ben Keays goal for Adelaide was inexplicably given as a point in the last minute of the match after the Crows had fought back from 44 points down. Errol Gulden (30 disposals), Isaac Heeney (18 disposals, 3 goals) and Chad Warner (25 disposals, 6 clearances) were best for the Swans. The major ball winners were with the Crows with Rory Laird (31 disposals, 8 tackles, 9 clearances), Matt Crouch (26 disposals, 6 marks, 6 clearances, 1 goal) and Jake Soligo (28 disposals) all busy.

Errol Gulden - 3
Isaac Heeney - 1
Rory Laird - 1
Matt Crouch - 1

 

Western Bulldogs 12.13.85 def by West Coast 14.8.92

The Bulldogs have been stunned by the Eagles in a dramatic upset outcome that has affected the season’s of many teams. Jamie Cripps was a star with 5 goals from 17 disposals, and 8 tackles, while Tim Kelly (32 disposals, 8 clearances) and Oscar Allen (18 disposals, 9 marks, 3 goals) were also important. Marcus Bontempelli (32 disposals, 10 tackles, 12 clearances, 1 goal) tried to carry the Dogs on his shoulders with a huge second half, but will it be enough for the three Brownlow votes? Adam Treloar (32 disposals, 14 tackles, 1 goal) and Tim English (21 disposals, 9 marks, 51 hitouts, 1 goal) were also big for the Dogs but they didn’t get enough help!

Jamie Cripps - 2.5
Marcus Bontempelli - 2.5
Tim Kelly - 1

 

Melbourne 13.9.87 def Hawthorn 9.6.60

Melbourne had to battle but they did enough to pull away from the Hawks and grab the win. Jake Melksham was as important as anyone on the ground with 3 goals, 15 disposals and 6 marks. Jack Viney (25 disposals, 8 marks, 7 tackles), Max Gawn (20 disposals, 7 marks, 22 hitouts), Jake Lever (19 disposals, 13 marks) and Trent Rivers (27 disposals, 10 marks) were good, while Christian Petracca was handy with 22 disposals, 7 clearances and a goal but it might not be enough for votes. Karl Amon (27 disposals, 14 marks), Blake Hardwick (22 disposals, 8 marks) and Conor Nash (25 disposals, 8 clearances) stood out for the Hawks, while Finn Maginness (13 disposals) did a great job of keeping Clayton Oliver to just 14 touches. Tricky game for Brownlow votes.

Jake Melksham - 3
Jack Viney - 2
Jake Lever - 0.5
Trent Rivers - 0.5

 

Fremantle 8.10.58 def by Port Adelaide 11.8.74

The Power landed an important win against a solid Freo team to keep their top 2 chances alive. Zak Butters may emerge as the main Brownlow threat to Nick Daicos, but knowing how the umpires stuffed up voting in Port Adelaide games last season, anything is still possible. Butters picked up 31 disposals and a goal to be one of the best afield, with Connor Rozee (24 disposals, 5 marks) and Ollie Wines (25 disposals, 10 marks) also good. Andrew Brayshaw (32 disposals), Caleb Serong (27 disposals, 11 clearances) and Liam Henry (31 disposals) won plenty of ball for the Dockers.

Zak Butters - 3
Connor Rozee - 1
Andrew Brayshaw - 1
Caleb Serong - 1

 

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For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.

If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.

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