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2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 9

May 17th 2021, 2:30pm, By: Brownlow Bandit

AFL Brownlow Round 9

The Roos are on the board and the Dees are still undefeated after 9 rounds of the 2021 AFL season. The star performers of the round include Cam Guthrie who is in incredible form at the moment, Marcus Bontempelli is rising up the Brownlow leaderboard while Jarryd Lyons was excellent against his old side. A couple of the quiet acheivers that may be worth exploring are Clayton Oliver and Ollie Wines. Oliver is playing in an undefeated team, and although he's competing for votes with some stars, he's been ultra consistent this season - we have him polling in 6 of the 9 rounds this season - so the $17 at Sportsbet might be worth a nibble. It's a similar tale for Ollie Wines who has been very consistent in his rise up the leaderboard this season. You can still get $24 at Betfair which is a great price.

Check out our analysis and 2021 Brownlow Medal vote predictions for every game of Round 9 below!

You’ll be able to stay up to date with our 2021 Brownlow Medal leaderboard tracker with links to round-by-round voting posted there.



2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Vote Predictions - Round 9

St.Kilda 5.17.47 def by Geelong 10.8.68

The Saints will be devastated with their missed opportunities as poor kicking for goal cost them the chance to knock off the Cats. While the Saints were red-hot with their pressure, it was Cam Guthrie who stood firm in the middle for the Cats with 36 disposals, 7 tackles and a goal and should pick up the three votes. Mitch Duncan (30 disposals, 15 marks), Isaac Smith (27 disposals, 11 marks) and Zach Touhy (31 disposals, 6 marks) were also very good for Geelong. Brad Crouch was off the ground for a long period for a concussion test but still picked up 28 disposals and 9 tackles, while Jack Steele tried hard with 23 disposals, 11 tackles, 7 clearances and a goal for the Saints.

Cam Guthrie - 3
Zach Tuohy - 2
Brad Crouch - 0.5
Isaac Smith - 0.5

Sydney 10.12.72 def Collingwood 5.12.42

The Swans started slow but gained the ascendency to defeat the Pies. Callum Mills (28 disposals, 7 tackles) continued his good season, while Isaac Heeney (22 disposals, 6 marks, 3 goals) and Justin McInerney (24 disposals, 7 marks) were also very good. Will Hoskin-Elliott (23 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal) roamed freely for the Pies, while Brayden Maynard (29 disposals) did the job on Buddy Franklin.

Callum Mills - 3
Isaac Heeney - 2
Will Hoskin-Elliott - 1

Hawthorn 12.8.80 def by North Melbourne 13.9.87

The Roos are on the board in 2021 as they fought out a gutsy win against the Hawks in Launceston. Jy Simpkin was a star with 38 disposals, 9 tackles and 13 clearances and will be fighting out for best-on-ground with Ben Cunnington (37 disposals, 13 clearances) who was also influential. Aaron Hall (28 disposals) provided some dash and Todd Goldstein (28 hitouts, 19 disposals, 1 goal) won the battle in the ruck. Chad Wingard (21 disposals, 2 goals), James Cousins (23 disposals, 6 tackles, 2 goals) and Blake Hardwick (28 disposals, 7 marks) were among the best for the Hawks.

Jy Simpkin - 2.5
Ben Cunnington - 2.5
Chad Wingard - 0.5
Aaron Hall - 0.5

Gold Coast 7.9.51 def by Brisbane 19.10.124

The Lions belted the Suns in the Q-clash with Jarryd Lyons tormenting his old side with 37 disposals, 6 marks, 9 tackles and 9 clearances to win the Marcus Ashcroft Medal for best afield. Dayne Zorko was also superb with 34 disposals, 9 marks, 7 clearances and a goal, while our Brownlow leader Hugh McLuggage was again good with 24 disposals, 8 marks, 6 tackles and a goal. Daniel McStay was a force up forward with 14 disposals, 8 marks and 4 goals and may just pip McLuggage for a vote. David Swallow (29 disposals, 5 clearances) was best for the Suns.

Jarryd Lyons - 3
Dayne Zorko - 2
Daniel McStay - 1

Richmond 13.9.87 def GWS Giants 12.11.83

The Tigers fans (and coach) didn’t want to travel the extra two train stops to Marvel Stadium but they came away with the points with a thrilling come-from-behind victory against the Giants. Liam Baker (33 disposals, 6 tackles, 8 clearances) loved having a run in the middle, while Dustin Martin (28 disposals, 5 clearances, 4 goals) was again superb. Jacob Hopper (35 disposals, 7 tackles, 11 clearances, 1 goal) was huge for the Giants, while Jesse Hogan (16 disposals, 9 marks, 4 goals) was a force up forward in the first half.

Liam Baker - 2.5
Dustin Martin - 2.5
Jacob Hopper - 1

Port Adelaide 12.5.77 def by Western Bulldogs 15.6.96

In a finals-like game, the Bulldogs proved they are the real deal as they beat the Power on their home turf. Marcus Bontempelli (26 disposals, 2 goals) led from the front while Tom Liberatore (27 disposals, 12 clearances) helped give Dogs first use of the ball with 20 contested possessions. Ollie Wines (32 disposals, 8 tackles, 5 clearances, 1 goal) was a beast and Travis Boak (30 disposals, 7 tackles, 8 clearances) was typically influential.

Marcus Bontempelli - 3
Ollie Wines - 2
Tom Liberatore - 1

Essendon 10.8.68 def Fremantle 8.13.61

It was a bit of a struggle, but the Dons will be pleased to get away with the four points. Darcy Parish (39 disposals, 10 clearances, 1 goal) is now realising his potential with another stellar game while Nick Hind (31 disposals, 8 marks) and Andrew McGrath (27 disposals, 8 tackles) were among their best. The Dockers won a lot of the stats with Andrew Brayshaw (33 disposals, 8 marks, 8 tackles, 7 clearances), Nat Fyfe (28 disposals, 6 clearances), Sean Darcy (22 disposals, 8 tackles, 8 clearances, 38 hitouts) and Matt Taberner (16 disposals, 7 marks, 4 goals) all having big games in the losing effort.

Darcy Parish - 3
Nick Hind - 2
Andrew Brayshaw - 0.5
Sean Darcy - 0.5

Melbourne 13.16.94 def Carlton 10.8.68

Another strong win for the Dees as they continue their undefeated start to the 2021 season. Tom McDonald was huge with 18 disposals, 5 marks and 3 goals, while the on-ball brigade of Clayton Oliver (28 disposals, 10 tackles, 7 clearances, 1 goal), Christian Petracca (27 dispoasls, 5 marks, 8 clearances) and James Jordan (20 disposals, 13 tackles) were impressive. Patrick Cripps (27 dispoasls, 10 tackles, 7 clearances) and Sam Walsh (30 disposals, 9 marks) were again left to carry the load for the Blues.

Tom McDonald - 3
Clayton Oliver - 2
Patrick Cripps - 1

West Coast 16.10.106 def Adelaide 11.10.76

The Eagles were in 3rd gear but that was enough to account for the Crows. Jack Darling broke the game open with five goals in the 2nd quarter and ended with 15 disposals and 8 marks. Tim Kelly (31 disposals, 11 clearances) was again brilliant, while Jamie Cripps (25 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal) and Andrew Gaff (30 disposals, 7 marks) are also a chance for votes. Rory Laird was the stand out for the Crows with 36 disposals, 10 clearances and a goal.

Jack Darling - 3
Tim Kelly - 2
Jamie Cripps - 0.5
Rory Laird - 0.5




For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.

If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.

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