AFL Round 10 has been run and it was great to see some of the cellar dwellers get some wins on the board. West Coast finished on top for the first time for 2025 as they knocked off St Kilda, while North Melbourne landed their second win of the season against Richmond. However one of the upsets of the season saw Melbourne win on the road against the reigning premiers in Brisbane. At the other end, Collingwood remain on top of the ladder while the Bulldogs are shaping as one of the true contenders this season.
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote predictions and projections using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2025 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page and check out the latest Brownlow Odds.
2025 AFL Brownlow Round 10 Overview
Again we take a look at current Brownlow favourite Nick Daicos who do we have a chance for for a vote in Round 10. However according to our latest Brownlow leaderboard, Daicos is currently sitting 12th and four votes behind our current leader who is Jordan Dawson who again polled in Round 10. Daicos can certainly run that gap down, but with a dozen players all with a few votes of each other, there's plenty of value to be found if you look outside the favourites.
Bailey Smith is again in the votes in Round 10, and has been the big shortener in Brownlow betting this season, but we only have Smith polling one three vote game this season as we think Jeremy Cameron pipped him this week. Others in the votes in Round 10 and climbing up the leaderboard include Noah Anderson, Tom Liberatore, Max Gawn, Tristan Xerri, Caleb Serong, Andrew Brayshaw, Chad Warner and Josh Daicos.
Check out our 2025 Round 10 Brownlow votes below and our updated 2025 Brownlow leaderboard here!
2025 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 10 Match Analysis
Gold Coast 16.8.104 def Hawthorn 15.6.96
A cracking game to start the round as two contenders made light work of slippery conditions in Darwin to produce a thrilling, fast-paced contest. Noah Anderson (35 disposals, 12 clearances, 1 goal) was sensational, while John Noble (36 disposals), Matt Rowell (29 disposals, 9 tackles, 9 clearances) and Touk Miller (22 disposals, 7 tackles, 8 clearances, 2 goals) were also excellent. Jai Newcome (29 disposals, 8 tackles, 1 goal) and Jack Ginnivan (22 disposals, 2 goals) were best for the Hawks.
Noah Anderson - 3
John Noble - 2
Jai Newcombe - 1
Sydney 11.12.78 def Carlton 9.8.62
It was a scrappy contest but the Swans kicked clear in the last quarter for an important win. Two players were the difference with Isaac Heeney (38 disposals, 9 clearances, 2 goals) and Chad Warner (30 disposals, 2 goals) clearly the best players on ground. Justin McInerney (24 disposals, 1 goal) was also good for Sydney. Adam Cerra (34 disposals, 7 tackles) and Patrick Cripps (26 disposals, 7 tackles, 7 clearances, 2 goals) will fight it out for the minor Brownlow vote.
Isaac Heeney - 3
Chad Warner - 2
Adam Cerra - 0.5
Patrick Cripps - 0.5
Collingwood 11.12.78 def Adelaide 10.8.68
The Pies have now won 8 of their last 9 as they were too tough in slippery conditions against the Crows. Josh Daicos (29 disposals) was their leading ball winner, with Nick Daicos (28 disposals, 7 clearances) and Brayden Maynard (24 disposals) also important. Jordan Dawson (27 disposals, 9 marks, 8 tackles, 1 goal) was excellent and should be amongst the votes, while Izak Rankine (26 disposals, 1 goal) and Darcy Fogarty (4 goals, 11 disposals, 7 marks) also played their part for the Crows.
Josh Daicos - 3
Jordan Dawson - 2
Izak Rankine - 0.5
Nick Daicos - 0.5
Port Adelaide 5.9.39 def by Geelong 17.13.115
The Cats thumped the Power to leave their season in trouble. Jeremy Cameron defied the slippery conditions to boot 7 goals from 16 disposals and 8 marks in a brilliant performance. Bailey Smith has been the big shortener in the Brownlow betting markets but he might only get the two votes here for his 30 disposals, 8 marks and 7 clearances. Oliver Dempsey (24 disposals, 2 goals), Gryan Miers (27 disposals, 6 marks) and Mark O’Connor (28 disposals, 11 marks) were also very good. Connor Rozee (32 disposals, 7 marks) and Ollie Wines (28 disposals, 11 marks, 6 tackles) tried hard for Port.
Jeremy Cameron - 3
Bailey Smith - 2
Oliver Dempsey - 1
GWS 8.13.61 def by Fremantle 13.17.95
The Dockers collected a huge win over the Giants which would help decide both teams finals chances. Recruit Shai Bolton was spectacular with 24 disposals, 8 marks and 3 goals. Caleb Serong (36 disposals, 8 clearances) and Andrew Brayshaw (30 disposals, 6 tackles) were back to their best, while Luke Jackson (21 disposals, 32 hitouts, 7 clearances) and Michael Frederick (16 disposals, 3 goals) were important. Finn Callaghan (24 disposals, 8 tackles, 7 clearances) and Lachie Ash (29 disposals, 8 marks) were best for the Giants.
Shai Bolton - 3
Caleb Serong - 2
Andrew Brayshaw - 1
Western Bulldogs 18.19.127 def Essendon 5.6.36
The Bulldogs thumped the Dons and Bailey Dale set a record for the Dogs and also Marvel Stadium for the most disposals ever with a staggering 49 disposals! All of the Dogs were busy with Tom Liberatore (34 disposals, 8 clearances, 1 goal), Ed Richards (27 disposals, 2 goals), Matthew Kennedy (31 disposals, 1 goal) and Marcus Bontempelli (24 disposals, 2 goals) all brilliant in the middle, while Rhylee West (4 goals, 19 disposals) was sensational up forward.
Bailey Dale - 3
Rhylee West - 1
Ed Richards - 1
Tom Liberatore - 1
Richmond 11.8.74 def by North Melbourne 12.6.78
It was a desperate game between two of the bottom teams but North did enough to hold on for their second win of the season. It was a game of stoppages with Tristan Xerri (19 disposals, 12 tackles, 51 hitouts, 11 clearances) and Toby Nankervis (15 disposals, 13 tackles, 47 hitouts) producing big numbers but somewhat nullifying each other’s influence. Luke Davies-Uniacke (27 disposals, 7 clearances, 1 goal), Tom Powell (24 disposals, 6 tackles) and Colby McKercher (22 disposals, 10 tackles, 1 goal) all won the ball for North, while Cameron Zurhaar (4 goals, 9 disposals) hit the scoreboard. Tim Taranto (30 disposals, 10 clearances) and Jacob Hopper (27 disposals) were good for the Tigers. Tricky game for votes.
Tristan Xerri - 3
Luke Davies-Uniacke - 2
Toby Nankervis - 1
Brisbane 13.10.88 def by Melbourne 14.15.99
One of the upsets of the season as Melbourne travelled to the Gabba and knocked off the reigning premiers with a huge last quarter. Max Gawn enjoyed the late withdrawal of Oscar McInerney to amass 22 disposals, 7 marks, 46 hitouts and 8 clearances in another huge performance. Kysaiah Pickett (21 disposals, 2 goals), Trent Rivers (24 disposals, 1 goal), Christian Petracca (31 disposals, 9 clearances) and Jake Melksham (4 goals, 11 disposals, 7 marks) were all excellent in the win. The Lions players got big numbers but not the result with Lachie Neale (30 disposals, 6 marks, 6 clearances), Hugh McLuggage (28 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal) and Will Ashcroft (30 disposals, 6 clearances) all busy.
Max Gawn - 3
Kysaiah Pickett - 2
Christian Petracca - 0.5
Jake Melksham - 0.5
West Coast 16.12.108 def St Kilda 12.8.80
The Eagles grabbed their first win of the season as they were too good for the Saints. Brady Hough was moved into the midfield and did well with 24 disposals, 6 marks and a goal to be their best, while Harley Reid (15 disposals, 6 marks, 2 goals) flashed his brilliance. The best players on the ground were arguably with the Saints as Jack Higgins kicked 5 goals from 12 disposals, while Rowan Marshall (27 disposals, 8 marks, 40 hitouts, 1 goal) and Jack Sinclair (38 disposals, 7 marks, 6 clearances) were enormous.
Rowan Marshall - 3
Jack Sinclair - 2
Brady Hough - 0.5
Jack Higgins - 0.5
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
