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2024 AFL Brownlow Medal: Round 4 Votes

April 9th 2024, 2:46pm, By: Brownlow Bandit

Gather Round in Adelaide was another roaring success with all 18 teams enjoying the sights and scenes of South Australia in a massive football carnival. They got to enjoy some great matches played in front of capacity crowds at venues throughout Adelaide.

As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote predictions and projections using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.

For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2024 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page (coming soon).

2024 AFL Brownlow Round 4 Overview

Christian Petracca, Connor Rozee, Errol Gulden, Marcus Bontempelli, Andrew Brayshaw, Toby Greene, Jack Steele and Dustin Martin are a few of the big names who are likely to be in the votes after Round 4, however there's now little down that the man out in front is Sydney's Isaac Heeney. He was again one of the best on ground in the Swans win and he's now moved into clear favourite in the Brownlow betting market.

Check out our 2024 Round 4 Brownlow votes below and we'll have our updated leaderboard up on the site soon!


2024 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 4 Match Analysis

Adelaide 8.15.63 def by Melbourne 10.18.78

The Dees controlled the majority of this contest to secure a solid victory over the Crows. Christian Petracca was best on ground with 29 disposals, 5 tackles, 8 clearances and a goal. Big Max Gawn (15 disposals, 6 marks, 39 hitouts) led from the front, Steven May (19 disposals, 9 marks) returned to the side in great form and Judd McVee (20 disposals) provided spark off half-back. Jake Soligo (27 disposals, 8 tackles, 6 clearances), Jordan Dawson (23 disposals, 8 marks, 1 goal) and Mark Keane (23 disposals, 10 marks) were best for the Crows.

Christian Petracca - 3
Steven May - 2
Jake Soligo - 1


Brisbane 16.16.112 def North Melbourne 6.6.42

The Lions absolutely thumped the Kangaroos on the tight confines of Norwood Oval. Joe Daniher was back to his best with 5 goals from 20 disposals and 12 marks. Hugh McLuggage (36 disposals, 6 clearances), Josh Dunkley (31 disposals, 8 tackles, 7 clearances) and Dayne Zorko (28 disposals, 8 marks, 1 goal) were prolific in the middle, while Lachie Neale (27 disposals, 7 clearances) was sensational in the first half before being subbed out with an ankle concern at three-quarter time. Harry Sheezel (35 disposals, 6 marks) and Charlie Comben (25 disposals, 8 marks) were kept busy down back for the Roos.

Joe Daniher - 3
Hugh McLuggage - 2
Josh Dunkley - 1


Port Adelaide 17.9.111 def Essendon 6.6.42

Essendon were competitive early but the Power dominated after quarter time to run away big winners. Skipper Connor Rozee was superb with 36 disposals and 3 goals, while Jason Horne-Francis wasn’t far behind with 31 disposals and 10 clearances. Jeremy Finlayson (19 disposals, 8 marks, 3 goals) and Mitch Georgiades (15 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goals) provided big targets up forward as Port were in control. Nic Martin (35 disposals) and Zach Merrett (36 disposals, 7 clearances) typically won plenty of ball in a disappointing result for the Bombers.

Connor Rozee - 3
Jason Horne-Francis - 2
Jeremy Finlayson - 1


West Coast 11.12.78 def by Sydney 15.14.104

The Eagles hung in there for much of the game but the Swans kicked clear in the end to avoid embarrassment. Errol Gulden (25 disposals, 6 tackles, 6 clearances, 2 goals) and Brownlow Medal favourite Isaac Heeney (26 disposals, 6 tackles, 7 clearances, 2 goals) are likely to fight it out for top votes in this one. Brodie Grundy (20 disposals, 31 hitouts, 8 clearances) and Nick Blakey (25 disposals, 6 marks) were also good. Liam Duggan (30 disposals, 12 marks), Jeremy McGovern (26 disposals, 6 marks) and Elliot Yeo (28 disposals, 8 tackles, 6 clearances) might be a chance for a vote, while Harley Reid (18 disposals, 7 tackles, 1 goal) played his best game for the club so far.

Errol Gulden - 2.5
Isaac Heeney - 2.5
Jeremy McGovern - 0.5
Elliot Yeo - 0.5


Fremantle 9.9.63 def by Carlton 10.13.73

The Blues kicked three goals in the final five minutes to win in rather controversial circumstances against an unlucky Dockers team. Jacob Weitering (21 disposals, 12 marks) and Brodie Kemp (21 disposals, 14 marks) marked everything in defence, while Charlie Curnow (12 disposals, 12 marks, 3 goals) provided the spark up forward. Andrew Brayshaw (38 disposals, 7 marks, 7 tackles) was the leading ball winner on the ground, while James Aish (27 disposals, 7 marks) and Jeremy Sharp (29 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal) were also good for Freo.

Andrew Brayshaw - 3
Jacob Weitering - 2
Brodie Kemp - 0.5
Charlie Curnow - 0.5


Western Bulldogs 14.7.91 def by Geelong 14.11.95

The Cats got home in a high-quality thriller on Saturday night against the Dogs. Jeremy Cameron (27 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goals), Gryan Miers (22 disposals, 7 marks) and Jack Bowes (23 disposals, 2 goals) were best for the Cats. Despite the Cats getting the win, the best player on the ground was arguably Bulldog Tom Liberatore who amassed 35 disposals, including 28 contested, an enormous 19 clearances as well as 9 tackles and a goal. Teammate Marcus Bontempelli wasn’t far behind with 35 disposals of his own as well as 10 tackles, 7 clearances and a goal. Adam Treloar (37 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) was also very good but it might be tough for him to pinch a vote here.

Tom Liberatore - 3
Marcus Bontempelli - 2
Jeremy Cameron - 1


Gold Coast 13.11.89 def by GWS Giants 18.9.117

The Giants remain undefeated and on top of the AFL ladder after Round 4 after shaking off the Suns. Toby Greene was at his slippery best with 5 goals from 17 disposals, while Stephen Coniglio (27 disposals, 6 tackles, 2 goals), Harry Himmelberg (26 disposals) and Lachie Whitfield (29 disposals, 7 marks) were also busy. Noah Anderson (33 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal), Mac Andrew (24 disposals, 10 marks) and Sam Flanders (29 disposals, 7 marks) were valuable for the Suns.

Toby Greene - 3
Stephen Coniglio - 2
Noah Anderson - 0.5
Mac Andrew - 0.5

Richmond 9.6.60 def by St Kilda 9.13.67

The Saints were pushed all the way but they got the points in the end against the Tigers. Jack Steele was best for the Saints with 33 disposals, 10 tackles and 7 clearances, with Jack Sinclair (29 disposals), Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (27 disposals, 11 marks) and Rowan Marshall (23 disposals, 7 marks, 7 tackles, 24 hitouts, 1 goal) all good contributors. Votes will be heading to the Tigers as well with Shai Bolton (19 disposals, 9 marks, 4 goals) and Dustin Martin (30 disposals, 8 marks) both having huge influence.

Jack Steele - 3
Shai Bolton - 2
Dustin Martin - 1


Collingwood 11.11.77 def Hawthorn 11.6.72

The Hawks kicked the last five goals of the match but couldn’t quite get over the line as the Pies won another thriller. Jordan De Goey was back to his best with 31 disposals, 7 tackles, 6 clearances and a goal. Tom Mitchell (30 disposals, 10 tackles, 7 clearances), Josh Daicos (30 disposals, 6 marks) and John Noble (23 disposals, 6 marks) were good for the Pies. Jai Newcombe (26 disposals, 7 tackles, 10 clearances, 1 goal) and Blake Hardwick (15 disposals, 7 marks, 4 goals) had their best game of the year for the Hawks.

Jordan De Goey - 3
Jai Newcombe - 1
Blake Hardwick - 1
Josh Daicos - 1



For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.

If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.

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