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2024 AFL Brownlow Medal: Round 2 Votes

March 26th 2024, 2:33pm, By: Brownlow Bandit

Round 2 of the 2024 AFL season has been completed, and with some teams playing two games, and others with three, it's going to be a little uneven in the Brownlow count early on. However it's clear that there's some new contenders on the block this season and they are going to be hard to stop!

As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote predictions and projections using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.

For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2024 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page (coming soon).

2024 AFL Brownlow Round 2 Overview

Tom Green from the GWS Giants is our new Brownlow betting favourite after another exceptional performance in Round 2. Isaac Heeney will also be in the votes for the third game running, while Zak Butters, Touk Miller, Caleb Serong, Christian Petracca and Marcus Bontempelli are also likely to poll Brownlow votes in Round 2.

Check out our 2024 Round 2 Brownlow votes below and we'll have our updated leaderboard up on the site soon!

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2024 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 2 Match Analysis

St Kilda 14.10.94 def Collingwood 12.7.79

The Pies are 0-3 and in trouble in their premiership defence as the Saints had too much run for them. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera was sublime across half-back with exceptional ball use the highlight of his 32 disposals and 11 marks. Jack Steele (26 disposals, 11 tackles, 6 clearances), Ryan Byrnes (21 disposals, 8 marks), Josh Battle (24 disposals, 7 marks), Jack Higgins (13 disposals, 4 goals) and Max King (15 disposals, 8 marks, 3 goals) were among their best. Not many winners for Collingwood but Josh Daicos (29 disposals) and Patrick Lipinski (22 disposals, 2 goals) tried hard.

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera - 3
Jack Steele - 2
Jack Higgins - 1

 

Adelaide 11.11.77 def by Geelong 14.12.96

The Cats landed a strong away win as they look on track for a big season. Tom Stewart was magnificent in his 150th with a record-equalling 10 intercept marks in his 28 disposal game. Gryan Miers (26 disposals, 3 goals), Patrick Dangerfield (23 disposals, 7 marks, 8 tackles), Max Holmes (24 disposals) and Tom Hawkins (4 goals, 11 disposals) were also valuable. Matt Crouch (37 disposals, 9 clearances) and Jordan Dawson (26 disposals, 12 tackles) were best for the Crows.

Tom Stewart - 3
Gryan Miers - 2
Tom Hawkins - 0.5
Matt Crouch - 0.5

 

North Melbourne 11.10.76 def by Fremantle 15.12.102

The Roos flew out of the blocks but ran out of puff after half-time as the Dockers secured their second win of the season. Luke Jackson starred with 24 disposals, 21 hitouts, 7 clearances and 2 goals, with good support on the ground from Andrew Brayshaw (27 disposals, 1 goal) and Caleb Serong (35 disposals, 6 tackles, 8 clearances). Tom Powell (28 disposals, 8 clearances, 2 goals), Luke Davies-Uniacke (30 disposals, 9 clearances) and Harry Sheezel (35 disposals) were best for North.

Luke Jackson - 3
Andrew Brayshaw - 1
Caleb Serong - 1
Tom Powell - 1

 

Hawthorn 5.8.38 def by Melbourne 14.9.93

The Dees were far too good for the Hawks at the G on Saturday afternoon. Christian Petracca will be in the Brownlow votes for his 29 disposals, 6 clearances and 1 goal while Bailey Fritsch was electric up forward with 5 goals from 13 disposals. Alex Neal-Bullen (24 disposals, 6 tackles), James Sicily (27 disposals, 13 marks) and Josh Weddle (21 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal) will fight it out for the minor vote.

Christian Petracca - 3
Bailey Fritsch - 2
James Sicily - 1

 

Sydney 19.17.131 def Essendon 15.11.101

Sydney remained undefeated as they overcame the Bombers in a spirited and high-scoring clash. Tom Papley was superb with 4 goals from 24 disposals and 10 marks, while Isaac Heeney was again in the Brownlow votes with 32 disposals, 8 clearances and a goal. Chad Warner (28 disposals, 2 goals) and Errol Gulden (24 disposals, 9 marks, 6 clearances, 2 goals) were next best while Zach Merrett (32 disposals, 6 tackles, 2 goals) tried to carry his team on his shoulders.

Tom Papley - 3
Isaac Heeney - 2
Chad Warner - 0.5
Zach Merrett - 0.5

 

Western Bulldogs 18.7.115 def Gold Coast 10.7.67

The Bulldogs were far too good for the Suns in Ballarat with Cody Weightman helping them to a blistering start amongst his 6 goals from 14 disposals. Marcus Bontempelli (32 disposals, 11 clearances, 2 goals) and Adam Treloar (27 disposals, 8 tackles) were also very good. Touk Miller (30 disposals, 10 tackles) was best for the Suns.

Cody Weightman - 3
Marcus Bontempelli - 2
Adam Treloar - 1

 

Richmond 13.14.92 def by Port Adelaide 18.14.122

The Tigers challenged but the Power flexed to get home comfortably in the end. Young guns Zak Butters (34 disposals, 7 clearances, 1 goal) and Connor Rozee (28 disposals, 8 marks) are going to be right in the mix on Brownlow night, while Willem Drew (27 disposals, 1 goal), Kane Farrell (27 disposals, 7 marks) and Todd Marshall (4 goals, 15 disposals, 9 marks) were also good. Liam Baker (23 disposals, 3 goals) and Shai Bolton (22 disposals, 2 goals) had moments of brilliance but it wasn’t enough for the Tigers.

Zak Butters - 3
Connor Rozee - 2
Todd Marshall - 1

 

West Coast 5.13.43 def by GWS Giants 16.12.108

It’s another long season ahead for Eagles fans as they were thumped at home by GWS. The Giants had winners everywhere with Tom Green (34 disposals, 6 tackles, 8 clearances), Kieran Briggs (21 disposals, 34 hitouts, 12 clearances), Lachie Whitfield (36 disposals) and Josh Kelly (28 disposals, 2 goals) all winning plenty of ball. However it was Sam Taylor who was equally impressive in defence with 17 disposals and 10 marks, including 9 intercepted, in a fantastic shut down role. Elliot Yeo (27 disposals, 8 tackles, 9 clearances, 1 goal) was best for West Coast.

Tom Green - 3
Sam Taylor - 2
Kieran Briggs - 1

 

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For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.

If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.

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