Round 12 saw the start of the bye rounds and while Sydney enjoyed a break, their position on top of the ladder didn't change as there were several upset results with Collingwood, Essendon and Melbourne all suffering blows to their finals aspirations.
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote predictions and projections using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2024 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page (coming soon).
2024 AFL Brownlow Round 12 Overview
With Isaac Heeney and Chad Warner having the bye in Round 12, it was the opportunity for a number of Brownlow contenders to make their move. Nick Daicos is into Brownlow favouritism after collecting votes once again in Round 12, while Marcus Bontempelli, Patrick Cripps, Sam Walsh, Noah Anderson, Caleb Serong and Zach Merrett are also likely to poll to close the gap on the Brownlow leaders.
Check out our 2024 Round 12 Brownlow votes below and our updated 2024 Brownlow leaderboard here!
2024 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 12 Match Analysis
Port Adelaide 10.11.71 def by Carlton 16.11.107
It was a tight contest but the Blues exploded in the last quarter to run away with a fantastic away win against a very good team. Sam Walsh (34 disposals, 13 tackles, 8 clearances) was brilliant all night while Patrick Cripps (22 disposals, 2 goals) kicked two crucial goals to get the Blues going in the last quarter. Nic Newman (29 disposals, 8 marks) also won plenty of ball while Tom De Koning impressed with 18 disposals, 28 hitouts, 6 tackles, 8 clearances and a goal. Jason Horne-Francis (22 disposals, 6 tackles, 10 clearances, 1 goal) and Ollie Wines (26 disposals) were bulls for the Power while Mitch Georgiades (4 goals, 15 disposals, 9 marks) played a lone hand up forward.
Sam Walsh - 3
Patrick Cripps - 2
Jason Horne-Francis - 0.5
Tom De Koning - 0.5
Collingwood 12.10.82 def by Western Bulldogs 15.10.100
Marcus Bontempelli out-bodied and out-worked the Pies in the last quarter with 14 disposals in a mighty effort as he carried his team on his shoulders to victory. Bontempelli ended the match with 38 disposals, 9 tackles, 10 clearances and 2 goals in a brilliant performance. Adam Treloar (37 disposals, 11 clearances, 1 goal) and Bailey Dale (35 disposals, 8 marks) were also excellent while Sam Darcy (12 disposals, 7 marks, 3 goals) was good up forward. Nick Daicos (32 disposals, 16 disposals, 2 goals) and Jack Crisp (24 disposals, 10 tackles, 1 goal) were best for Collingwood.
Marcus Bontempelli - 3
Nick Daicos - 2
Adam Treloar - 1
Hawthorn 16.11.107 def Adelaide 12.8.80
The resurgence of the Hawks continues as they led all day against a disappointing Crows team. Dylan Moore was superb with 5 goals from 27 disposals to be a clear best-on-ground. Jai Newcombe (26 disposals, 9 clearances) and Jack Ginnivan (22 disposals, 2 goals) were also valuable contributors. Matt Crouch is a chance for votes for his 35 disposals, 9 marks, 7 tackles and 7 clearances while Mitch Hinge (31 disposals, 9 marks) and Lachie Sholl (28 disposals, 1 goal) were among the Crows best.
Dylan Moore - 3
Jai Newcombe - 2
Jack Ginnivan - 1
West Coast 10.6.68 def by St Kilda 12.10.82
The Saints eventually got their nose in front to win a pretty scrappy contest against the Eagles. Mason Wood provided the class with 4 goals from 22 disposals, 8 marks and 6 tackles and should get the three Brownlow votes. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (24 disposals, 6 marks) was probably the only other Saint worth a mention. Elliot Yeo (27 disposals, 7 tackles), Liam Duggan (25 disposals, 8 marks) and Jeremy McGovern (21 disposals, 7 marks) were best for the Eagles.
Mason Wood - 3
Elliot Yeo - 2
Liam Duggan - 0.5
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera - 0.5
Geelong 15.9.99 def Richmond 10.9.69
The Tigers started fast but the Cats slowly reeled them in before kicking clear to record a much-needed win. Jack Bowes (29 disposals, 8 tackles, 9 clearances, 1 goal), Max Holmes (29 disposals, 1 goal), Tom Atkins (27 disposals, 11 tackles, 10 clearances) and Oliver Dempsey (27 disposals, 3 goals) were all excellent for the Cats. Toby Nankervis (17 disposals, 7 marks, 6 tackles, 51 hitouts) was tireless for the Tigers while Liam Baker (31 disposals, 6 tackles, 1 goal) was good in the middle.
Jack Bowes - 3
Oliver Dempsey - 2
Max Holmes - 1
Melbourne 7.7.49 def by Fremantle 22.9.141
Fremantle shocked Melbourne in Alice Springs with a thumping victory. The Dockers were in control all over the ground. Their midfield dominated through Caleb Serong (27 disposals, 8 clearances, 1 goal), Hayden Young (26 disposals, 6 tackles, 1 goal) and Andrew Brayshaw (25 disposals, 8 clearances), their defence was strong with Jordan Clark (36 disposals, 15 marks, 1 goal) and Luke Ryan (28 disposals, 18 marks), and their forwards flexed through Josh Tracey (18 disposals, 11 marks, 3 goals) and Sam Switkowski (25 disposals, 8 marks, 1 goal). Max Gawn (23 disposals, 31 hitouts, 1 goal) was one of the few Dees that could hold his head high.
Jordan Clark - 3
Caleb Serong - 2
Hayden Young - 1
Gold Coast 14.7.91 def Essendon 11.14.80
Gold Coast maintained their undefeated record at home with a gutsy win over the Bombers. The typical suspects were in the thick of the action with Noah Anderson (33 disposals, 8 clearances), Matt Rowell (26 disposals, 11 tackles, 8 clearances) and Touk Miller (28 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) winning plenty of ball, while Sam Flanders (33 disposals) and Mac Andrew (25 disposals, 6 marks) were good in the backline. Zach Merrett (33 disposals, 6 marks, 7 clearances) led from the front for the Bombers.
Noah Anderson - 3
Matt Rowell - 2
Zach Merrett - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
