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2023 AFL Brownlow Medal: Round 24 Votes

August 28th 2023, 9:13pm, By: Brownlow Bandit

The AFL season rolls on as we continue with our in-depth 2023 Brownlow Medal coverage. Every game, every round, we'll have 2023 Brownlow Medal tips, analysis and information, to make your 2023 Brownlow Medal night a profitable one!

As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote allocations using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.

For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2023 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page.

2023 AFL Brownlow Round 24 Overview

The 2023 Brownlow Medal count is set to be a thriller!

Nick Daicos will have a massive lead but his season-ending injury opened the door for the pack to chase him down. Marcus Bontempelli and Zak Butters emerged as the most likely challengers, but have they done enough in the final rounds to get in front? Boy, it's going to be close!

We have both Butters and Bont polling votes in Round 24, but neither getting the three. If we're wrong, and they can pinch another vote or two, then that could be the difference between winning and losing Charlie!

Others to poll in Round 24 include Errol Gulden, Christian Petracca and Lachie Neale, but they look to be a little too far back to get challenge the leaders.

Check out our Round 24 Brownlow votes below!

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2023 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 24 Match Analysis

Essendon 3.13.31 def by Collingwood 16.5.101

The Bombers had flown the white flag even before this match got underway in a really poor finish to the season for them. Jordan De Goey (27 disposals, 1 goal) and Tom Mitchell (33 disposals, 6 tackles, 7 clearances, 1 goal) were busy in the middle, while Jack Ginnivan (17 disposals, 3 goal) played one of his best games for the club. Zach Merrett (36 disposals, 11 marks) and Darcy Parish (29 disposals, 9 tackles, 6 clearances) were best for the Bombers.

Jordan De Goey - 3
Tim Mitchell - 2
Jack Ginnivan - 1

 

Hawthorn 8.8.56 def by Fremantle 14.9.93

The Dockers ended the season on a high note with a comfortable win over the Hawks. Caleb Serong (32 disposals, 6 marks, 9 clearances) was outstanding, with Andrew Brayshaw (33 disposals, 8 tackles, 1 goal) and Hayden Young (22 disposals, 7 tackles) providing good support. Dylan Moore (27 disposals, 9 marks, 6 tackles, 1 goal) and Will Day (30 disposals, 6 clearances) were best for Hawthorn.

Caleb Serong - 3
Andrew Brayshaw - 2
Dylan Moore - 1

 

North Melbourne 20.12.132 def Gold Coast 14.13.97

It was supposed to be a game that North Melbourne couldn’t possibly win. Surely the #1 draft pick was too valuable? Apparently not. North played their best four-quarter effort of the season to defeat the Suns, avoid the wooden spoon and snap their 20-game losing streak. Nick Larkey dominated up forward with 9 goals from 21 disposals and 11 marks, and a likely three Brownlow votes. Bailey Scott (33 disposals, 10 marks), Jy Simpkin (29 disposals, 7 marks, 6 tackles, 6 clearances, 1 goal), Harry Sheezel (29 disposals), Tarryn Thomas (22 disposals, 9 tackles, 10 clearances) and Eddie Ford (19 disposals, 8 marks, 3 goals) were all excellent as the future looks bright for the Roos. Matt Rowell (33 disposals, 9 tackles, 12 clearances) and Sam Flanders (29 disposals, 12 marks, 2 goals) were strong for the Suns.

Nick Larkey - 3
Harry Sheezel - 1.5
Jy Simpkin - 1.5

 

Brisbane 9.18.72 def St Kilda 9.6.60

The Lions have secured a top two spot and two home finals after getting past St Kilda in a tight contest. Lachie Neale (30 disposals, 10 clearances), Dayne Zorko (22 disposals, 12 marks, 1 goal), Joe Daniher (17 disposals, 7 marks, 2 goals) and Keidean Coleman (17 disposals, 6 marks, 6 tackles) were all influential in the win. Rowan Marshall (24 disposals, 7 marks, 27 hitouts, 9 clearances) stood tall for the Saints, while Jack Sinclair (30 disposals, 7 marks) and Brad Crouch (26 disposals, 1 goal) were also busy.

Lachie Neale - 3
Rowan Marshall - 2
Joe Daniher - 1

 

Geelong 11.13.79 def by Western Bulldogs 16.8.104

The Dogs did what they had to do in defeating the Cats but ultimately it wasn’t enough to reach the top 8 and the finals. The big question is did Marcus Bontempelli do enough to win the Brownlow? It will be close. Bontempelli ended with 31 disposals, 10 tackles and 6 clearances, which should see him in the votes but a couple of his teammates were also very good. Adam Treloar (33 disposals, 2 goals) and Tom Liberatore (32 disposals, 9 tackles, 8 clearances, 1 goal) might have just pipped the Bont for influence on the match. Rory Lobb (16 disposals, 7 marks, 15 hitouts, 3 goals) also played his best game of the season. Isaac Smith ran around by himself in his farewell match to amass 36 disposals, 11 marks and a goal with 947 metres gained, but most of those touches were pretty cheap.

Adam Treloar - 2.5
Tom Liberatore - 2.5
Marcus Bontempelli - 1

 

West Coast 12.6.78 def by Adelaide 17.21.123

The Eagles were up early but the Crows flexed and ran away with a comfortable win to leave the Eagles to collect the wooden spoon. Taylor Walker was a man on a mission as he had a massive 19 shots on goal to end with 9 goals from 21 disposals and 11 marks in a dominant display. Rory Laird (37 disposals, 6 clearances), Matt Crouch (31 disposals, 6 clearances), Jake Soligo (24 disposals, 2 goals) and Josh Rachele (18 disposals, 8 marks, 3 goals) were among the Crows best. Tim Kelly (35 disposals, 8 clearances) and Liam Duggan (29 disposals, 9 marks) tried hard for the Eagles.

Taylor Walker - 3
Rory Laird - 2
Jake Soligo - 0.5
Tim Kelly - 0.5

 

Port Adelaide 13.16.94 def Richmond 8.15.63

The baby Tiges kept touch with the Power for three quarters before Port kicked away late to lock in third spot on the AFL ladder. Zak Butters is the other player that we have in contention to challenge Nick Daicos in the Brownlow chase in the final round of the season. Butters was excellent with 30 disposals, 7 marks and 9 clearances, but did he do enough to take the lead? Again, it’s close! Connor Rozee will probably get the three votes for his 33 disposals, 6 marks, 6 tackles and 1 goal. Dan Houston (27 disposals, 9 marks, 1 goal) and Xavier Duursma (22 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal) will be the ones to challenge for votes for Port. Dustin Martin is likely to have his name read out for his 33 disposals and 1 goal, while Jayden Short (26 disposals, 8 marks) was also effective.

Connor Rozee - 3
Dustin Martin - 2
Zak Butters - 1

 

Sydney 7.14.56 def by Melbourne 11.11.77

The Swans were seeking a home final but they were denied by the Dees who head into September in good form at the right time of the year. Errol Gulden seems likely to get the three votes in a losing effort with 42 disposals and 2 goals in a huge effort. Jack Viney (29 disposals, 12 tackles), Christian Petracca (29 disposals, 1 goal) and Bailey Fritsch (5 goals, 16 disposals) were the key players for the Dees, while Callum Mills (30 disposals, 8 marks, 12 tackles, 1 goal) was back to his best for Sydney.

Errol Gulden - 3
Christian Petracca - 2
Bailey Fritsch - 1

 

Carlton 11.7.73 def by GWS Giants 16.9.105

The Giants had to win to play finals and they did exactly that! Stephen Coniglio (28 disposals, 6 tackles, 2 goals), Tom Green (35 disposals, 8 clearances) and Toby Greene (4 goals, 18 disposals) were best for the Giants and will probably scoop the votes. Sam Walsh (28 disposals, 6 clearances) was the leading ball winner for Carlton.

Stephen Coniglio - 3
Tom Green - 1.5
Toby Greene - 1.5

 

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For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.

If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.

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