Bulldogs star Marcus Bontempelli is the big mover in Brownlow betting after Round 8 of the 2021 AFL season. Hes now into equal favourite at $5 with most sportsbooks, alongside Christian Petracca and Dustin Martin. Bontempelli looks assured of another 3 votes, and the perennial overpoller is climbing on our Brownlow medal leaderboard. Another likely to be polling very well is Brisbane’s Hugh McLuggage - we have him leading our count! He was $81 two weeks ago, and we have him polling best-on-ground for the last three rounds, but you can still get great odds of $26 at Sportsbet which offers huge value.
Check out our analysis and 2021 Brownlow Medal vote predictions for every game of Round 8 below!
You’ll be able to stay up to date with our 2021 Brownlow Medal leaderboard tracker with links to round-by-round voting posted there.
2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Vote Predictions - Round 8
Richmond 9.9.63 def by Geelong 19.12.126
The Cats blitzed the Tigers in the second half to record a thumping victory over the reigning premiers. Jeremy Cameron was best with 6 goals, 22 disposals and 8 marks in a brilliant four-quarter performance. Cam Guthrie (36 disposals, 11 marks, 6 clearances), Mitch Duncan (30 disposals, 10 marks, 7 tackles) and Tom Stewart (26 disposals, 7 marks) were also very good. Stewart also did a good job of keeping danger man Dustin Martin relatively quiet. Tom Hawkins (20 disposals, 7 marks, 4 goals) and Gary Rohan (16 disposals, 6 marks, 5 goals) also cashed in late. The Tigers won’t be anywhere near the votes in this one.
Jeremy Cameron - 3
Tom Stewart - 2
Cam Guthrie - 1
Gold Coast 7.12.54 def by St.Kilda 8.15.63
The Suns led at three-quarter time, but the Saints stormed home to pinch the points. Jack Steele (27 disposals, 7 marks, 8 tackles, 6 clearances, 2 goals), Zak Jones (31 disposals, 7 tackles, 6 clearances), Jack Billings (25 disposals, 13 marks, 2 goals) and Brad Crouch (30 disposals, 5 tackles, 6 clearances, 1 goal) were all very good for the Saints. Touk Miller led the possession count with 33 disposals and 7 marks, while David Swallow chipped in with 28 disposals and 13 tackles.
Jack Steele - 3
Touk Miller - 2
Zak Jones - 1
GWS Giants 16.11.107 def Essendon 16.9.105
The Bombers were brave but the Giants held on in a thriller. Tim Taranto (29 disposals, 8 tackles, 5 clearances, 1 goal) and Josh Kelly (30 disposals, 7 clearances, 2 goals) were as good as ever while Toby Greene (21 disposals, 6 marks, 5 tackles, 2 goals) continued his great season. However the Bombers had a couple of the best players on the ground with Zach Merrett (37 disposals, 6 marks) and Darcy Parish (35 disposals, 7 clearances) likely to contend for votes.
Tim Taranto - 3
Zach Merrett - 2
Josh Kelly - 0.5
Darcy Parish - 0.5
North Melbourne 11.10.76 def by Collingwood 14.10.94
The Pies had to win this one, and they got the job done against a gallant Roos team who now seem consigned to the wooden spoon in season 2021. The win was set up by 6 goals from Jordan De Goey from 17 disposals and 6 marks in an electric performance. Darcy Moore was shifted back into defence and that paid off with a career-high 28 disposals and 19 marks. Brayden Maynard (32 disposals, 10 marks) and Jack Crisp (31 disposals, 9 marks) were also among the Pies best. Jaidyn Stephenson (19 disposals, 6 marks, 2 goals) played well against his old side, while Aaron Hall (37 disposals, 8 marks) continued his rich form.
Jordan De Goey - 3
Darcy Moore - 2
Brayden Maynard - 0.5
Aaron Hall - 0.5
Melbourne 10.7.67 def Sydney 8.10.58
Melbourne remain undefeated after 8 rounds following a tough win over the Swans. Clayton Oliver (35 disposals, 5 tackles, 10 clearances), James Harmes (30 disposals, 7 tackles) and Christian Petracca (28 disposals, 8 tackles, 1 goal) were busy in the middle while Tom McDonald (18 disposals, 5 marks, 4 goals) was a dominant force up forward. Callum Mills (33 disposals, 10 tackles, 6 clearances) and Luke Parker (32 disposals, 5 tackles, 7 clearances) were tireless in the losing effort.
Clayton Oliver - 3
Tom McDonald - 2
James Harmes - 0.5
Christian Petracca - 0.5
Port Adelaide 12.15.87 def Adelaide 5.8.38
The Power were too good for the Crows in the Showdown. Travis Boak won the Showdown Medal for the third time for 28 disposals and 6 clearances. Karl Amon (27 disposals, 6 marks), Connor Rozee (23 disposals, 6 tackles, 1 goal) and Scott Lycett (34 hitouts, 18 disposals, 6 tackles) were also good for Port. Rory Laird (36 disposals, 5 tackles, 6 clearances) tried hard for the Crows.
Travis Boak - 3
Scott Lycett - 2
Connor Rozee - 0.5
Rory Laird - 0.5
Hawthorn 8.12.60 def by West Coast 14.14.98
West Coast finally broke through for a win away from home with a comfortable victory over the Hawks. Their onballers were busy with Andrew Gaff (38 disposals, 12 marks), Dom Sheed (35 disposals, 10 marks) and Tim Kelly (25 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal) winning plenty of ball. Brad Sheppard (27 disposals, 12 marks) was strong in defence and Jack Darling (17 disposals, 9 marks, 2 goals) provided the target up forward. For the Hawks, Tom Mitchell (41 disposals, 6 clearances) might be a chance for votes, while James Worpel (27 disposals, 6 clearances, 2 goals) and Jarman Impey (32 disposals, 1 goal) were next best.
Andrew Gaff - 3
Tim Kelly - 2
Tom Mitchell - 1
Western Bulldogs 16.11.107 def Carlton 13.13.91
The Dogs had to do it tough against the Blues, coming from behind to grab the win. Marcus Bontempelli was superb with 32 disposals, 8 tackles, 10 clearances and a goal and should be prominent in the votes while Josh Bruce controlled the air with 5 goals, 15 disposals and 11 marks. Sam Docherty (31 disposals, 9 marks) and Jacob Weitering (23 disposals, 13 marks) tried hard in defence for the Blues.
Marcus Bontempelli - 3
Josh Bruce - 2
Sam Docherty - 1
Brisbane 14.11.95 def Fremantle 10.11.71
Brisbane led all the way and were never really threatened in their comfortable win over the Dockers. Hugh McLuggage continues to firm in Brownlow betting markets after another strong game with 27 disposals, 6 marks, 5 tackles and a goal. Daniel Rich (31 disposals, 10 marks) and Jarryd Lyons (29 disposals, 9 marks, 6 clearances) also won plenty of ball while Charlie Cameron was back to his best up forward with 14 disposals, 11 marks and 3 goals. David Mundy (27 disposals, 1 goal) and Nat Fyfe (27 disposals, 8 clearances, 1 goal) tried hard for the Dockers.
Hugh McLugage - 3
Daniel Rich - 2
Charlie Cameron - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
