While former Brownlow Medal winners Lachie Neale and Dustin Martin suffered injuries and concussion in Round 6 action, young gun Christian Petracca was busy raking in more Brownlow votes and leading his Demons to a huge upset win over the reigning champions for a perfect 6-0 start to the season! Petracca is now among the favourites for the Brownlow Medal and has taken over the lead on our Brownlow Medal leaderboard. Jack Macrae continues to get leather poisoning while David Mundy is rollling back the clock with a stellar season for the Dockers as they both warm in Brownlow betting markets. The 2021 Brownlow Medal race is wide open, and we look forward to what should be the best Brownlow Medal count in years.
Check out our analysis and 2021 Brownlow Medal vote predictions for every game of Round 6 below!
You’ll be able to stay up to date with our 2021 Brownlow Medal leaderboard tracker with links to round-by-round voting posted there.
2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Vote Predictions - Round 6
GWS Giants 9.11.65 def by Western Bulldogs 15.14 104
The Giants were up for the fight for three quarters but the Bulldogs class ran away with it in the final quarter. Jack Macrae was superb with 40 dispoasls, 8 marks, 6 tackles and 6 clearances in a dominant performance. He was well supported by Adam Treloar (35 disposals, 5 tackles, 6 clearances, 1 goal), Tom Liberatore (27 disposals, 10 tackles, 7 clearances, 2 goals) and Marcus Bontempelli (26 disposals, 6 tackles, 7 clearances, 1 goal). Toby Greene (4 goals, 19 disposals) was a typical headache up forward while Lachie Ash padded the stat sheet down back with 35 disposals and 15 marks.
Jack Macrae – 3
Adam Treloar – 1
Tom Liberatore – 1
Toby Greene – 1
Geelong 21.10.136 def West Coast 5.9.39
An absolutely dreadful showing from the Eagles in a big clash with the Cats who were very good. Mitch Duncan kicked 4 goals, including a 60m bomb after the half-time siren, to go with 26 disposals and 13 marks. Cam Guthrie (35 disposals, 10 clearances) and Joel Selwood (29 disposals, 7 clearances) won plenty of ball, while Lachie Henderson (19 disposals, 11 marks, 2 goals) and Jack Henry (19 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal) ruled the air. There was simply nothing positive to say about the Eagles.
Mitch Duncan – 3
Cam Guthrie – 2
Joel Selwood - 1
Gold Coast 15.10.100 def Sydney 9.6.60
The Suns scored an upset as they stunned the Swans. Touk Miller (36 disposals, 9 tackles, 9 clearances) and Noah Anderson (34 disposals, 7 marks, 6 clearances) are likely to vie for the three votes, while Nick Holman (23 disposals, 13 tackles, 1 goal), David Swallow (31 disposals, 7 marks) and Ben King (5 goals, 14 disposals, 7 marks) were also good contributors. Josh Kennedy (41 disposals, 7 tackles, 11 clearances), Luke Parker (36 disposals, 9 clearances) and Callum Mills (34 disposals, 7 tackles, 7 clearances) worked hard but couldn’t get the result for the Swans.
Touk Miller – 2.5
Noah Anderson – 2.5
Josh Kennedy – 0.5
Ben King – 0.5
Carlton 12.13.85 def by Brisbane 15.13.103
The Lions held on against a plucky Blues outfit to grab the win. Hugh McLuggage (33 disposals, 5 clearances) was the Lions best with some support from Jarryd Lyons (24 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) and Dayne Zorko (20 disposals, 11 tackles, 8 clearances, 1 goal). The Blues should have some players figuring in the votes with Sam Walsh (33 disposals, 9 marks, 1 goal) and Harry McKay (6 goals, 15 disposals, 9 marks) likely to grab some attention from the umpires.
Hugh McLuggage – 3
Harry McKay – 1.5
Sam Walsh – 1.5
Melbourne 12.10.82 def Richmond 6.12.48
The Dees are the real deal! Their perfect start to the season continued as they knocked off the reigning champs in prime time at the MCG! The lid is officially off! Christian Petracca is firming in the Brownlow betting markets after his 38 disposals, 7 marks and 10 clearances which saw him win the medal for best on ground. Christian Salem (39 disposals, 7 markets) was dominant at half-back, while Clayton Oliver (36 disposals, 6 tackles) was also prolific. Shai Bolton (28 disposals, 9 marks, 1 goal) was a rare winner for the Tigers.
Christian Petracca – 3
Christian Salem – 2
Clayton Oliver - 1
Fremantle 14.15.99 def North Melbourne 6.12.48
It was a lacklustre game to watch without a crowd in attendance but the Dockers did it pretty easily in the end. David Mundy was again superb with 30 disposals, 8 clearances and 3 goals, and he was well supported by Caleb Serong (35 disposals, 7 tackles, 6 clearances), Nat Fyfe (34 disposals, 7 marks, 7 clearances) and Andrew Brayshaw (30 disposals, 8 marks). Jack Ziebell is becoming the master of padding the stats as he racked up a massive 37 disposals and 14 marks, but it wasn’t enough to stop the Dockers.
David Mundy – 3
Caleb Serong – 2
Nat Fyfe - 1
Hawthorn 15.12.102 def Adelaide 16.3.99
The Hawks mounted a huge 32-point comeback to defeat the Crows in Launceston. Jaeger O’Meara led the Hawks with 31 disposals, 5 tackles, 5 clearances and 1 goal while Jacob Koschitzke played his best game with 5 goals from 14 disposals and 9 marks. Rory Laird (32 disposals, 5 tackles, 7 clearances) and Ben Keays (31 disposals, 13 tackles, 10 clearances, 1 goal) were best for the Crows, while Riley Thilthorpe impressed on debut with 5 goals from 16 disposals.
Jaegar O’Meara – 3
Ben Keays – 1
Rory Laird - 1
Jacob Koschitzke - 1
Collingwood 13.7.85 def by Essendon 16.13.109
Essendon conquered the Pies in an ANZAC Day classic with Darcy Parish taking home the ANZAC Day Medal for his 42 disposals, 9 clearances and 2 goals in a clear best-on-ground performance. Zach Merrett (34 disposals, 6 tackles, 7 clearances) was prolific while Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti lit up the G with his 5 goals from 10 disposals with 6 tackles. Jack Crisp (30 disposals, 1 goal) and Scott Pendlebury (30 disposals, 5 clearances) were best for the Pies.
Darcy Parish – 3
Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti - 2
Zach Merrett - 1
Port Adelaide 14.9.93 def St.Kilda 5.9.39
The Power was on as the Saints hit a new low in 2021. Karl Amon ran riot in the first half before ending with 34 disposals and 15 marks. Ollie Wines (36 disposals, 5 tackles, 8 clearances) also won plenty of ball while the half-back line of Tom Jonas (26 disposals, 15 marks), Ryan Burton (28 disposals, 11 marks) and Darcy Byrne-Jones (27 disposals, 8 marks) were impenetrable. Up forward Orazio Fantasia (15 disposals, 3 goals) was lively. Seb Ross (31 disposals, 10 marks, 8 tackles, 6 clearances) was best for the Saints.
Karl Amon – 2.5
Ollie Wines – 2.5
Tom Jonas - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
