The AFL players have escaped Melbourne as the crazy 2020 AFL season rolls! The MCG will remain empty, at least for the time being, with all Victorian teams relocating interstate. How will it affect form remains to be seen! Meanwhile we've taken a close look at the Round 5 action and updated our rolling 2020 Brownlow Medal leaderboard. Read on for our break down of every match and our Round 5 Brownlow vote predictions.
Our Brownlow Medal predictions and rolling Brownlow Medal tracker allow you to keep an eye on the Brownlow betting markets throughout the season, so that you can build a green book so that by the time the 2020 Brownlow Medal night rolls around we’re assured of a profit!
You’ll be able to stay up to date with our live 2020 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2020 AFL Brownlow Round 5 Vote Predictions below!
Lachie Neale and Dylan Shiel are the firmers in the 2020 Brownlow betting markets while rising star Matthew Rowell has crashed out of contention after a severe shoulder injury set back his 2020 season. Let's take a look at each match from Round 5 with our Brownlow vote predictions!
Carlton 8.7.55 def by St.Kilda 11.7.73
The Saints were comfortable winners over the Blues to kick start Round 5 of the 2020 AFL season. Jack Steele (23 disposals, 9 tackles) got the better of his head-to-head clash with Patrick Cripps, while Jack Billings (23 disposals, 1 goal) and Nick Coffield (20 disposals) also won plenty of ball. Rowan Marshall helped setup the midfield with 22 hitouts, 19 disposals and 7 clearances. Jack Martin was best for the Blues with 19 disposals and a goal.
Jack Steele – 3
Jack Billings – 1.5
Rowan Marshall – 1.5
Collingwood 7.6.48 def by Essendon 10.3.63
A big win for the Dons on Friday night as they upset the premiership favourites. Dylan Shiel was immense in the middle with 29 disposals, 6 clearances and a goal, Andrew McGrath picked up 19 disposals and 5 clearances, while Jake Stringer finished their work with 3 goals from his 10 touches and 7 tackles. Brodie Grundy was typically prolific with 20 disposals, 37 hitouts and 10 clearances, although Andrew Phillips did a good job to nullify his influence. Adam Treloar racked up possessions in his return with 30 disposals, while Josh Daicos was very good with 21 disposals and a goal.
Dylan Shiel – 3
Jake Stringer – 2
Adam Treloar – 1
Betting Note: Dylan Shiel was a clear best here and we have him now on 6 votes for the season. However Essendon do have an extra game in hand, so he wouldn’t be the worst spec bet at $36 at Betfair.
West Coast 11.11.77 def Sydney 6.7.43
West Coast finally found their vigour of 2019 with a strong win over the Swans. Nic Natanui dominated in the middle with 39 hitouts, 11 disposals and 7 clearances but with the Swans missing their top three choice ruckmen, there was little opposition for him. Dom Sheed (24 disposals, 9 clearances, 1 goal) and Elliot Yeo (21 disposals, 9 clearances) got a boost after the injury to Luke Shuey, while Brad Sheppard (21 disposals, 13 marks) also found plenty of ball. Oscar Allen chopped out in the ruck and also hit the scoreboard with 3 goals, 11 disposals and 7 hitouts. Josh Kennedy was best for the Swans with 25 disposals.
Dom Sheed – 2.5
Nic Natanui – 2.5
Elliot Yeo - 1
Geelong 13.11.89 def Gold Coast 8.4.52
The Cats held off a gallant Gold Coast to celebrate the milestone games for Gary Ablett and Joel Selwood. Mitch Duncan (25 disposals), Sam Menegola (23 disposals, 1 goal) and Joel Selwood (22 disposals, 8 tackles) won the midfield battle, while Tom Hawkins was a threat all game with 17 disposals, 8 marks and 3 goals. David Swallow tried hard for the Suns with 22 disposals.
Mitch Duncan – 2.5
Tom Hawkins – 2.5
Sam Menegola – 0.5
Joel Selwood – 0.5
Betting Note: Unfortunately for young gun Matthew Rowell, he’s out with a severe shoulder injury, but that’s good news for those who followed our advice last week and laid him at $9 at Betfair for the Brownlow. It’s hard to know how many games he will miss, but it’s going to be near impossible for him to win it now!
Western Bulldogs 13.9.87 def North Melbourne 5.8.38
Josh Bruce played his best game for the Dogs as he bagged 6 goals from his 10 possessions to setup a big win. Tim English (22 disposals, 8 marks, 15 hitouts) matched it with Todd Goldstein in the middle, while Jack Macrae (24 disposals), Tom Liberatore (23 disposals), Caleb Daniel (22 disposals) and Jason Johannisen (22 disposals) were also very effective.
Josh Bruce – 3
Caleb Daniel – 1
Tim English – 1
Jason Johannisen - 1
Brisbane 12.13.85 def Port Adelaide 6.12.48
Lachie Neale has again shortened in Brownlow betting after another likely best-on-ground performance in the Lions win over Port Adelaide. Neale picked up 29 disposals, 7 clearances and 1 goal and was supported by Jarryd Lyons (27 disposals) and Hugh McCluggage (19 dispoals, 7 tackles). Travis Boak was one of the best for Port with 26 disposals and 6 tackles.
Lachie Neale – 3
Jarryd Lyons – 2
Hugh McLuggage - 1
Adelaide 4.10.34 def by Fremantle 8.6.54
Fremantle landed their first win of the season, pulling away in the final quarter to overcome the Crows. Andrew Brayshaw was best on ground with 23 disposals while David Mundy (25 disposals) did well to fill the void of the injured Nat Fyfe. The Crouch brothers won plenty of ball with Brad Crouch collecting 28 disposals and 6 clearances, while Matt Crouch racked up 27 disposals after being dropped last week. One of them might get the one vote which will be the first vote we’ve allocated to an Adelaide player this season!
Andrew Brayshaw – 3
David Mundy – 2
Matt Crouch – 0.5
Brad Crouch – 0.5
Melbourne 8.4.52 def by Richmond 12.7.79
Richmond returned to some of their form of last season with a solid win over the Dees. Richmond typically shared the load around but Kane Lambert was a stand out with 27 disposals and 3 goals. Dion Prestia (19 disposals) was good before going off injured in the last quarter, Noah Balta (20 disposals, 8 marks) was strong down back, while Tom Lynch overcame a broken hand to kick 3 goals from his 12 disposals. Max Gawn will probably be among the votes for a colossal game with 33 hitouts, 22 disposals and 6 tackles. Christian Petracca was also very good with 27 disposals in a losing effort.
Kane Lambert – 3
Max Gawn – 2
Christian Petracca - 1
GWS 13.5.83 def Hawthorn 7.7.49
The Giants played keepings off down back and then coverted with incredible efficiency up forward to smash the Hawks. Nick Haynes (21 disposals, 11 marks) patrolled the backline, Josh Kelly (30 disposals, 12 marks), Harry Perryman (28 disposals, 11 marks) and Lachie Whitfield (28 disposals, 10 marks) ran wild in the middle, while Harry Himmelberg and Jeremy Finlayson hit the scoreboard with 4 goals apiece. Winners all over the ground!
Nick Haynes – 3
Jeremy Finlayson – 1
Josh Kelly – 1
Harry Perryman - 1
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