The most comprehensive AFL Brownlow Medal coverage returns for 2019 as the “Brownlow Bandit” brings you game-by-game analysis every round of the season to help you with your betting on the 2019 Brownlow Medal.
Our Brownlow Medal predictions and rolling Brownlow Medal tracker allow you to keep an eye on the betting markets throughout the season to build a green book so that by the time the 2019 Brownlow Medal night rolls around we’re assured of a profit.
You’ll be able to stay up to date with our live 2019 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to every single round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow voting system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2019 Brownlow Round 16 Vote Predictions below!
Hawthorn (9.13.67) def Collingwood (9.9.63)
Hawthorn dealt a massive blow to the Magpies in the opening matchup of the round, defeating them by just four points in a thrilling game at the MCG. James Sicily was absolutely dominant in the win, racking up 28 touches and 14 marks across half back to claim best on ground honours. Isaac Smith was also impressive off half back and through the midfield, accumulating 25 touches while Adam Treloar was the best for the Magpies with 31 touches and a goal. Those two should fight it out for the minor votes.
3 – James Sicily
1.5 – Adam Treloar
1.5 – Isaac Smith
Essendon (11.10.76) def Sydney (9.12.66)
After trailing by nine points at the start of the final term, Essendon scored four goals to two in the quarter to defeat the Swans by 10 points at the MCG. Dylan Shiel was best on ground for the Bombers but might struggle to capture the three votes over Isaac Heeney, who was dominant in the losing side, racking up 33 touches and 10 marks. Regardless, those two players should pick up five of the votes on offer while David Zaharakis will likely get the remaining vote after a solid 22-disposal, 3-goal performance.
2.5 – Isaac Heeney
2.5 – Dylan Shiel
1 – David Zaharakis
Gold Coast (9.4.58) def by Richmond (23.12.150)
The Tigers booted the highest team score of the 2019 season so far as they piled on 23 goals in the 92 point win over the Suns on Saturday. Jason Castagna kicked three in the first quarter and finished the match with five goals and should be in the votes come Brownlow night. Trent Cotchin (27 disposals, 2 goals) and Kane Lambert (24 disposals, 3 goals) were also super impressive. We think the six votes get dished out amongst these three players, although it’s tough to pinpoint which order.
2 – Jason Castagna
2 – Kane Lambert
2 – Trent Cotchin
Adelaide (5.14.44) def by Port Adelaide (15.11.101)
The Power squared the ledger in the 2019 Showdown series on Saturday afternoon, defeating the Crows by 57 points to move into seventh place on the ladder. Robbie Gray was back to his damaging best, racking up 35 touches while Justin Westhoff returned to form with 23 disposals and a goal. Tough to split a bunch of Port Adelaide players who were all impressive in this game, minor votes could go to Riley Bonner (27 disposals), Tom Rockliff (36 disposals), Ollie Wines (34 disposals) or Tom Clurey (18 disposals, 12 marks).
3 – Robbie Gray
1 – Justin Westohff
1 – Riley Bonner
1 – Tom Rockliff
Western Bulldogs (10.11.71) def Geelong (7.13.55)
The Bulldogs continue to be the most surprising team in the AFL as they claimed another big scalp on Saturday night, defeating the Cats by 16 points at Marvel Stadium. Aaron Naughton was unstoppable up forward for the Dogs, plucking 9 marks and booting 4 goals in the win. Marcus Bontempelli should earn votes for a 27 disposal, 1 goal performance while Jack Macrae was at his accumulating best with 34 touches in the midfield.
3 – Aaron Naughton
2 – Marcus Bontempelli
0.5 – Jack Macrae
0.5 – Patrick Dangerfield
Fremantle (2.19.31) def by West Coast (19.8.122)
In what many thought would be a close match given the teams recent form, West Coast were dominant in the second Western derby of the year, downing the Dockers by 91 points. Brad Sheppard racked up 25 touches and 7 marks in a best on ground performance while Andrew Gaff (35 disposals), Luke Shuey (28 disposals, 1 goal) and Jamie Cripps (4 goals) were also impressive.
3 – Brad Sheppard
2 – Andrew Gaff
0.5 – Luke Shuey
0.5 – Jamie Cripps
Carlton (15.10.100) def by Melbourne (15.15.105)
The Blues nearly did the impossible once again on Sunday afternoon, coming back from a 30 point deficit at the start of the final term to take the lead with just a few minutes to go. It wasn’t to be, however, as Jayden Hunt kicked a match-winning goal at the 29 minute mark of the final quarter to ice the game. Tom McDonald was best on ground before suffering a knee injury in the final quarter. His 20-disposal, 6-goal performance will still be enough to pick up the three votes while Bailey Fritsch should also feature after racking up 26 touches and 12 marks. Clayton Oliver (26 disposals) and Jack Silvagni (18 disposals, 3 goals) should fight it out for the last vote.
3 – Tom McDonald
2 – Bailey Fritsch
0.5 – Jack Silvagni
0.5 – Clayton Oliver
North Melbourne (17.10.112) def St. Kilda (11.7.73)
The Kangaroos booted seven goals to one in the first quarter of their game against the Saints on Sunday to take a 40 point lead into the first break. While the Saints fought back throughout the game, getting the lead down to 15 at one stage, they never really looked in it after the first quarter as the Roos finished 39 point winners. Jy Simpkin (36 disposals, 1 goal) and Cemeron Zurhaar (16 disposals, 5 goals) will fight it out for the 3 votes while Josh Bruce, who was the shining light for the Saints with 6 goals, will likely pick up the remaining vote.
2.5 – Cameron Zurhaar
2.5 – Jy Simpkin
1 – Josh Bruce
Greater Western Sydney (11.8.74) def by Brisbane (14.10.94)
The Lions kicked four goals to one in the first quarter and never looked backas they defeated the Giants on Sunday. They maintained a lead of around 20 points for the entirety of the game and claimed the win to move into the top four. Lachie Neale was back to his accumulating best with 31 touches and a goal in the win while Lincoln McCarthy was impressive up forward with three goals. Stephen Coniglio was arguably best on ground but will likely split the two Brisbane players in the votes after racking up 34 touches and 11 tackles.
3 – Lachie Neale
2 – Stephen Coniglio
1 – Lincoln McCarthy
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