2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Vote Predictions Round 4

April 15th 2019, 10:10am, By: Brownlow Bandit

The most comprehensive AFL Brownlow Medal coverage returns for 2019 as the “Brownlow Bandit” brings you game-by-game analysis every round of the season to help you with your betting on the 2019 Brownlow Medal.

Our Brownlow Medal predictions and rolling Brownlow Medal tracker allow you to keep an eye on the betting markets throughout the season to build a green book so that by the time the 2019 Brownlow Medal night rolls around we’re assured of a profit.

You’ll be able to stay up to date with our live 2019 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to every single round-by-round voting posted there.

For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow voting system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.

If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2019 Brownlow Round 4 Vote Predictions below! 

2019 Brownlow Medal Predicted Votes – Round 4

Sydney 11.12.78 def by Melbourne 15.10.100

The Demons are out of hell with their first win of the 2019 AFL season. Big Max Gawn dominated the air with 55 hitouts to go with 19 disposals and 5 marks. Clayton Oliver (33 disposals, 7 marks) was prolific while Nathan Jones turned back the clock with 21 disposals and 3 goals. Harry Cunningham (25 disposals, 8 marks, 10 tackles) was best for the Swans, while Jake Lloyd (34 disposals, 9 marks) and Oliver Florent (25 disposals, 2 goals) also won plenty of the ball.

Max Gawn – 3
Nathan Jones – 2
Clayton Oliver – 0.5
Harry Cunningham – 0.5

Collingwood 11.12.78 def Western Bulldogs 9.10.64

A remarkable hitout statistic was the talking point of the Pies victory with Brodie Grundy amassing 58 hitouts against Tim English who could only get his hand on the ball first on 6 occasions. It’s the biggest percentage differential in the history of the game! Grundy also collected 23 disposals and 8 tackles in a fantastic return to form. Tom Phillips (29 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goals) was everywhere while Taylor Adams (28 disposals, 8 tackles) and Jordan De Goey (19 disposals, 7 marks) were important in the middle of the ground late in the game. Marcus Bontempelli will again be among the Brownlow votes with 36 disposals and 6 tackles as best for the Dogs.

Brodie Grundy – 3
Marcus Bontempelli – 1.5
Tom Phillips – 1.5

Betting note: The Bont has been on fire this season and the Bulldogs are very competitive. With Dusty suspended, Dangerfield awaiting the verdict from the Match Review Panel at the time of writing and Fyfe injured, Bontempelli is certainly worth a nibble at $15 at BetEasy.

Geelong 11.9.75 def by GWS Giants 11.13.79

The Giants have inflicted the first loss of the season for the Cats, and posted their first win in Geelong in one of the best games of the year so far. Lachie Whitfield is emerging as a superstar of the competition with another impressive performance with 31 disposals and 10 marks. Stephen Coniglio (34 disposals), Josh Kelly (32 disposals), Jacob Hopper (31 disposals, 6 tackles) and Tim Taranto (28 disposals, 9 marks) all got plenty of the leather as the Giants should sweep the votes.

Lachie Whitfield – 3
Stephen Coniglio – 2
Jacob Hopper - 1

Betting note: It's always tricky to get votes in such a talented midfield, but Lachie Whitfield is standing out at the moment at GWS. He may potentially have votes in all four rounds so far this season, and if the umpires are leaning his way then Whitfield is a great speculative bet at $31 at TAB.

Essendon 17.10.112 def Brisbane 9.11.65

A career-best seven goals from Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti, along with 20 disposals and 10 marks, setup a big win for the Dons over the Lions. Zach Merrett (35 disposals, 6 marks) and David Zaharakis (30 disposals, 10 marks) won plenty of the ball, while Mitch Brown (25 disposals, 11 marks, 3 goals) was also influential. For the Lions, it was again left to Lachie Neale who may be in the votes again for his 40 disposals, 7 marks and 6 tackles.

Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti – 3
Zach Merrett – 2
Lachie Neale – 1

Port Adelaide 14.8.92 def by Richmond 15.9.99

Without their stars, the Tigers grabbed a big away win against the Power. Brandon Ellis enjoyed more midfield time with 28 disposals, 9 marks and a goal, while Jack Ross had a debut to remember with 25 disposals. Tom Lynch bagged 6 goals up front from his 10 possessions, while Dylan Grimes was a rock in defence with 17 disposals and 7 crucial marks. For the Power, Tom Rockliff recovered from last week’s concussion to collect 37 disposals.

Brandon Ellis – 3
Tom Lynch – 2
Dylan Grimes – 0.5
Tom Rockliff – 0.5

North Melbourne 9.17.71 def Adelaide 8.11.59

The Kangaroos are on the board as they overcame inaccuracies to defeat a disappointing Adelaide outfit. Shaun Higgins was all class in his 30 disposals, 7 marks and 1 goal, while Shaun Atley was important with his 22 disposals and 8 marks. Robbie Tarrant was back to some of his best form at half-back with 20 disposals and 14 marks. For the Crows, Rory Laird amassed 31 disposals and Matt Crouch had 29 touches to be the leading ball winners.

Shaun Higgins – 3
Shaun Atley – 2
Robbie Tarrant – 0.5
Rory Laird – 0.5

West Coast 10.9.69 def Fremantle 8.9.57

The Eagles won another Derby with Shannon Hurn taking home the Ross Glendinning medal for best afield for his 32 disposals and 8 marks across half-back. Andrew Gaff (35 disposals, 9 marks), Jack Redden (33 disposals, 10 marks) and Brad Sheppard (27 disposals, 14 marks) all won plenty of the ball. For the Dockers, it was David Mundy who stood up in the absence of Nat Fyfe as he racked up 36 disposals.

Shannon Hurn – 3
Andrew Gaff – 2
Jack Redden – 0.5
David Mundy – 0.5

Gold Coast 8.11.59 def Carlton 8.9.57

Heartbreak for the Blues as the Suns kicked a goal with just 10 seconds left to snatch another thrilling victory. Touk Miller (31 disposals, 14 tackles), Brayden Fiorini (30 disposals) and David Swallow (30 disposals) were all busy and well fed by the work of Jarrod Witts in the ruck who had 45 hitouts to go with 13 disposals, 7 tackles and a goal. Carlton were again carried on the back of Patrick Cripps who was immense with 30 disposals, 8 marks, 12 tackles and 2 goals, while Sam Walsh continues to impress with 28 disposals, but it wasn’t enough to get the win.

Patrick Cripps – 3
Touk Miller – 2
Brayden Fiorini – 0.5
Jarrod Witts – 0.5

St.Kilda 10.14.74 def Hawthorn 10.9.69

The Saints continued their surprisingly good start to the season with a thrilling win over the Hawks. Seb Ross was back to his best with 39 disposals and a goal, while Jack Billings continues to enjoy his time up the ground with 34 disposals, 6 marks and 5 tackles. Jack Lonie was dangerous with 3 goals from his 17 disposals and 5 tackles. James Sicily was a good contributor with 28 disposals and 10 marks on a disappointing day for the Hawks.

Seb Ross – 3
Jack Billings – 2
Jack Lonie - 1


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