Saturday night action in AFL Round 11 will take place in the City of Churches with Port Adelaide hosting Carlton. Neither of these teams have had the season’s they would’ve liked thus far, but this marks a great chance to secure four valuable premiership points.
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Power vs Blues clash below. And if you’re keen to back in our tips, consider doing so at Bet365 - one of the biggest and best sportsbooks in the world!
Port Adelaide vs Carlton Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2026 Round 11
150 for Captain Butters
Port Adelaide enters Saturday night’s marquee Sir Doug Nicholls Round clash at Adelaide Oval desperate to inject consistency into a rollercoaster campaign. The spotlight sits firmly on superstar acting captain Zak Butters for his 150th milestone match. The dynamic midfielder is in blazing form, averaging a career-best 31 disposals and 4.5 tackles per game to lead the engine room with signature intensity. For the Power, securing a win on home turf requires completely erasing the costly mid-game lapses that have derailed them previously.
Can Blues Win Another Under Fraser?
Carlton arrives in Adelaide following a turbulent fortnight sparked by senior coach Michael Voss stepping down after a dismal 1-8 start to the year. While the Blues found an immediate response under interim coach Josh Fraser, securing a gritty 12-point victory over the Bulldogs last week, the real test lies in sustaining that defensive intensity on the road. Languishing near the bottom of the ladder, the Blues desperately need to show structural cohesion rather than relying on a temporary emotional bounce to survive a hostile environment.
Recent H2H History
When assessing the recent head-to-head history, a massive caveat must be applied to any statistical trends: both clubs are deep in a transition phase. Significant list turnover on both sides over the last two seasons renders historical data largely irrelevant. Carlton is adjusting to a brand-new tactical direction on the fly, while Port Adelaide is actively blooding youth and reconfiguring its defensive identity. Because these modern line-ups look completely different from past iterations, previous matchups offer almost zero analytical insight.
Power or Blues? Here’s Our Best Bet!
Ultimately, home-ground advantage and the emotional lift of Butters' milestone should see Port Adelaide secure the points, winning in the 1-39 margin range. The Power's best football is sharp enough to exploit a Carlton backline that leaks scores under sustained pressure. However, this remains a strictly low-confidence bet given how wildly erratic both teams have been throughout the year. Expect a tight, fiercely contested scrap where Port Adelaide capitalises just enough on home territory to scratch out a narrow victory.
Port Adelaide 1-39
$2.15 (1.5 Units)
Port Adelaide vs Carlton Prop Bet
Corey Durdin comes up against his old side in Carlton for the first time since heading to Port Adelaide in the offseason. He has enjoyed a really solid first season at Alberton with 16 goals from 10 games. He’s kicked at least one goal in every game he’s played this year and has kicked multiple goals on six occasions. He remains fantastic value on Saturday night.
Corey Durdin 2+ Goals
$2.25
Port Adelaide vs Carlton Same Game Multi
Port Adelaide to Win: For the reasons mentioned in our best bet. They should have the slight edge at home.
Corey Durdin 2+ Goals: For the reasons mentioned above in our prop bet. Up against his old club and has been in good goalkicking form.
Zak Butters 30+ Disposals: The superstar brings up game 150 and couldn’t be in better form. 30+ disposals in nine straight matches.
Port Adelaide vs Carlton Match Info & Betting Odds
Date: Saturday 23rd May
Time: 7:35pm AEST
Location: Adelaide Oval
Odds: Port Adelaide $1.47 vs Carlton $2.71
Line: -12.5
Points: 168.5
Where to Watch Port Adelaide vs Carlton
You can watch the Power vs Blues live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
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