There are just two rounds of rugby league action remaining in the NRL this season. As the games decrease, the intensity lifts, with plenty to play for regardless of where a team sits on the ladder. A rematch of last year’s Grand Final at the start of the season just two weeks out from the NRL Finals would’ve had fans salivating; the fortunes of both teams means that both will miss the Top 8 but with pride on the line, a terrific contest is expected as the Broncos take on the Storm.
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Broncos vs Storm Prediction & Tips: 2026 NRL Round 26
Showing the old ‘fight’
Heading to Canberra as outsiders, the Broncos had plenty of excuses to deliver another poor performance. Thankfully for the morale and direction of this club, they delivered the opposite as they powered to a 34-30 victory in a hostile environment. Overcoming a lack of possession (45%), they completed strongly (81%) to make 9.7m per carry and 5 line breaks. Their missed tackles (37) did give their opponents too many chances; conceding 30 points and 5 line breaks must be improved upon heading into next season. This aside, some of the efforts displayed by players highlights that positivity still exists within this team.
Outplayed but finished strong
The Storm were blown away by the Panthers in the first half last week at home, quickly finding themselves down 22-nil, a deficit which was carried into HT. Fighting back strongly, they ended the game with a 22-14 loss; they will take confidence in keeping their opponents scoreless in the second half. This was achieved by controlling possession (56%) and having a high completion rate (85%), managing the conditions positively. Making 8.2m per carry and having 601 PCM’s helped their cause but ultimately, a slow start cost them dearly.
Stats that matter
- The Broncos have won 4 of the past 5 games against the Storm, including their Round 3 18-14 victory. Interestingly, the Storm still have a 71% strike rate at this ground (Broncos 57%).
- In the past 5 games, the average margin of victory is 16.4 points, with only 2 games decided by fewer than 16 points. The average points total is low though, sitting at 42 points.
- It is no surprise that the Storm have the edge in both attack and defence in 2026. Despite sitting outside the Top 8, they average 23ppg in attack compared to the Broncos 18ppg. Both are poor defensively, with the Storm allowing 24ppg, only slight ahead of the Broncos 27ppg.
Certainly uncertain
This game takes an unusual shape as, with both teams unable to make the Finals or finish with the Wooden Spoon, the NRL has chosen to trial a key rule adjustment. Like it or not, it will change the fabric of this game and leaves a lot of uncertainty n the minds of punters who are considering parting way with their money.
Looking at the game factually, the return of Hughes at halfback for the Storm is a major boost. He offers stability but may be impacted by a lack of match fitness. The Broncos proved last week that they are still a capable team and are an unchanged team from that contest. Looking at the strength of each opponent they faced last week, it is hard to dislike the performance of the Storm. As spirited as the Broncos were, the standard set by the Raiders was poor; the visitors arguably should’ve won the contest by a greater margin. For this game, pressure is expected to be built by the visitors. Their greatest challenge will be nullifying the powerful Broncos pack of forward; there is a chance that they set a standard which the visitors cannot match. That component has been missing from majority of their matches this season. If this Storm can manage them in this area, of which they are capable, it is their game to lose.
Storm -2.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Broncos vs Storm Same Game Multi
Leg 1 = Total over 49.5 points – the adjustment to the rules is designed to limit blowout victories. It may just increase the total points scored if teams are continually receiving the ball and have a deficit.
Leg 2 = Fa’alogo to score – he is in great form scoring in 3 of his past 4 NRL matches. Fa’alogo also enjoys playing the Broncos, scoring 3 tries in as many matches, including 2 at this ground.
Leg 3 = Grant to score – noted as a player to take the line on with any opportunity, Grant enjoys playing at this ground. He has 4 tries in the past 4 matches here and will want to control the result with the ball in his hand.
Broncos vs Storm Odds & Match Info
Date: Thursday 27th August
Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Time: 7:50pm AEST
Weather: Sunny, 23 degrees
Odds: Broncos ($2.20) vs Storm ($1.68)
Line: Storm (-2.5)
Points: 49.5
Where to Watch Broncos vs Storm
Watch the Broncos vs Storm live and ad free on Kayo Sports.
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