The next chapter in the legendary Trans-Tasman rivalry is set for its decisive rematch on Monday night, as the New Zealand Tall Blacks host the Australian Boomers at the TSB Arena in Wellington. Tip-off for this juicy Group A clash is set for 5:00 PM (AEDT). We bring you our preview and best bet below!
New Zealand vs Australia Betting Tips: Men’s 2027 FIBA World Cup Qualifiers
Following Friday’s tense 84-79 battle in Hobart, the Tall Blacks return to Wellington desperate to avoid a 0-2 sweep and secure a home victory. The Boomers required clutch, late-game heroics to snatch the win, confirming that New Zealand’s powerful, NBL-heavy squad is a genuine and present threat.
New Zealand’s clear blueprint for success hinges entirely on maintaining its interior physical dominance. In Game 1, the Tall Blacks completely controlled the glass, overpowering Australia 49-36 in the rebounding count. Forward Sam Mennenga was key in the paint, delivering 19 points and 10 rebounds. To win on Monday night, Coach Flavell’s team must relentlessly intensify their attack in the paint, forcing Australia into early foul trouble and capitalising on every single second-chance opportunity.
Meanwhile, Australia are chasing a 2-0 sweep to launch their qualifying campaign. They were saved in the first game by some timely shots and the composed, decisive play of guys like the Asia Cup MVP, Jaylin Galloway (19 points). Coach Vickerman must make better defensive rebounding a priority tonight to contain New Zealand's significant size advantage. Experienced veterans such as Nick Kay and Jack White will be essential stabilizing forces, required to counter the inevitable fiery and aggressive start expected from the motivated home side.
With World Cup qualification points on the line, the intensity of this rivalry guarantees a tight, physical contest until the final buzzer. The Tall Blacks’ urgency to avoid an 0-2 deficit, combined with the atmosphere the Wellington crowd will generate, acts as a big advantage. While Australia’s overall depth may give them a slight edge on paper, New Zealand possesses the proven physical superiority and motivation to turn this into a deep, grinding affair. The betting market has adjusted accordingly, recognising the fine margin established in Game 1.
With that said, the New Zealand Tall Blacks are our tip to prevail and square the series. Their relentless physical pressure and sustained dominance on the offensive boards should eventually wear down and overwhelm the Boomers' defence over the full 40 minutes. This is a great opportunity to secure a rare win over their rivals and they are more than equipped to take advantage of it.
New Zealand to Win
$2.04 (2 Units)
Tall Blacks vs Boomers Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Monday, December 1st, 2025
Time: 5:00pm AEDT
Location: TSB Arena, Wellington
Odds: New Zealand $2.08 vs Australia $1.70
Line: Australia –1.5
Points: 172.5
Where to Watch Tall Blacks vs Boomers
You can watch the Tall Blacks vs Boomers clash live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
Back In our Tall Blacks vs Boomers Tips at Dabble!
Not familiar with Dabble and want to learn more about what they offer? Check out our full Dabble review here, or by clicking the banner below.
