• Ladbrokes Code
  • BetReal
  • TradieBET
  • Next2Go
  • betr
  • Picklebet

Gold Coast vs Richmond Preview & Tips: 2025 AFL Round 21

August 1st 2025, 5:23pm, By: Jack Tobin

Suns vs Tigers Betting Tips

The second game of Saturday football takes place in the sunshine state as the Gold Coast Suns host Richmond. The Suns need a win to stay in the eight, can Richmond upset Gold Coast for the second time this season?

We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Suns vs Tigers below, with odds thanks to Dabble!

Dabble

Gold Coast vs Richmond Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2025 Round 21

Suns Standing Up

After being smashed by the Crows in Round 19, Gold Coast faced a pivotal moment in the context of their season, taking on their rivals Brisbane, who have had the wood over them for nearly the entirety of their existence. However in wet conditions the Suns produced their most impressive performance of the season, dominating the reigning premiers en route to a 66 point win. As expected Gold Coast were led by their star duo of Matt Rowell (37 disposals) and Noah Anderson (33 disposals, 1 goal) but they also had some impressive contributions by some lesser names. Joel Jeffrey (32 disposals), Brayden Fiorini (32 disposals, 1 goal) and Alex Davies (30 disposals) had excellent performances. With the Dogs winning on Thursday night the Suns currently sit out of the eight, however a win will put Damien Hardwick’s side back in the eight, and still holding a game in hand on the other top eight teams. 

 

Tigers Competitive, But Unpolished

Many expected Richmond to be on the end of a hiding as they faced the ladder leaders last week, but the Tigers were very competitive in a 36 point defeat. The Tigers backline held up remarkably well against an avalanche of Collingwood supply, with Nick Vlastuin at his usual best with 25 disposals and 7 marks. Jacob Hopper continued his strong form (33 disposals), while Tyler Sonsie had a career high 28 disposals. Richmond will need their defence to hold up strongly once again, against a stacked Suns forward line that is in red hot form. 

 

The Stats That Matter

The Suns success this season has been built off a dominant clearance game, which is the best in the competition. Gold Coast ranks 1st in the league for clearances, 2nd for scores from centre bounce and 3rd for scores from stoppages. Another key area of strength for Gold Coast is their transition game. Gold Coast ranks 4th in the AFL for chains to score and 5th for going from defensive half to forward 50.  

Unsurprisingly the Tigers struggle in a lot of areas, ranking 18th for points for, 18th for tackles, 18th for inside 50’s, 17th for disposals and 17th for clearances.

 

Suns or Tigers? Here’s Our Gold Coast vs Richmond Tip

There’s no surprises here, this game is going to be one way traffic for the Suns who are so hard to beat at home. Gold Coast are 5-1 at People First Stadium this season after having a 7-2 record at the venue in 2024. They’re even harder to beat in the twilight slots, given their experience in dewy conditions which Victorian sides certainly don’t cope well with. 

The line of -54.5 points does look big, but when you factor in some of the scores Gold Coast have kicked this season, it’s certainly within their capability. The Suns average winning margin is 33 points, and on 4 occasions this season have won by over 50 points. Gold Coast love putting bad teams to the sword, with a 7-1 record against the bottom ten teams with an average winning margin of 44 points. After putting up 130 puts against the reigning premiers in tough conditions last week, it’s scary to think about what the Suns forward line could produce this week. 

Gold Coast -54.5

$1.90 (1.5 Units)

 

Gold Coast vs Richmond Prop Bet: Rowell On Fire 

Our Best Prop Bet: Rowell 30+ Disposals

With the Suns facing three top four opponents over the last three weeks, Matt Rowell has risen to the occasion, playing his best football of the year. Rowell has recorded 32, 30 and 37 disposals across his last three games, and is also averaging 30 disposals per game across his last three games against Richmond.   

Matt Rowell 30+ Disposals

$2.10

 

Gold Coast vs Richmond Same Game Multi

Matt Rowell 30+ Disposals: As mentioned above, Rowell is in scintillating form with 32, 30 and 37 disposals across his last three games, and averages 30 disposals per game across his last three games against Richmond.   

Jacob Hopper 25+ Disposals: Jacob Hopper’s last five weeks have been outstanding, with performances of 33, 33, 27, 27 and 28 disposals. Hopper is averaging 26 disposals per game this season, and picked up 27 disposals in the Tigers win over the Suns earlier in the year. 

Bailey Humphrey 2+ Goals: Bailey Humphrey is really hitting his straps over the last six weeks, impacting the game with possessions and on the scoreboard. Humphrey has kicked 2+ goals in four of his last six games, including 3 goals against the Lions last week. 

Dabble

Gold Coast vs Richmond Betting Odds & Match Info

Date: Saturday 2nd August 

Time: 4:10pm AEST

Location: People First Stadium 

Weather: Partly cloudy, 16 degrees

 

Odds: Gold Coast ($1.02) vs Richmond ($15)

Line: Gold Coast -54.5

Points: 166.5

 

Where to Watch Gold Coast vs Richmond?

You can watch Gold Coast vs Richmond on Kayo Sports.

 

Tail our Gold Coast vs Richmond Tips at Dabble!

Not familiar with Dabble? Check out our full Dabble review here, or by clicking the banner below.

Dabble

 

Jack Tobin has a Bachelor of Media and Communications Degree, majoring in Sports Media, and has been part of the Before You Bet writing staff since 2019.

Jack is a sports fanatic but is particularly keen on Cricket, AFL, Basketball, NFL and Soccer where he has a keen eye for spotting a winner or three. Jack is still waiting for Essendon to win a final in the AFL, while he also supports the Miami Heat in the NBA, Manchester United in the EPL and the Seattle Seahawks in the NFL.

Horse Racing Tips

View More

Our team of expert horse racing analysts bring you regular horse racing tips from major horse racing meetings in Australia and internationally. The highlight of the Australian horse racing calendar is the Spring Carnival, featuring the Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate and, of course, the Melbourne Cup, and we'll be there riding every winner home with you with our free racing tips and best bets. Giddy up!

AFL Tips

View More

For the best AFL tips, stay tuned into Before You Bet as we provide previews and AFL betting tips for every match of every round, as well as coverage of the AFLW Women's competition, AFL premiership odds, Brownlow Medal vote predictions and a rolling Brownlow Medal leaderboard. If you love AFL football as much as us, then you'll enjoy following our AFL betting tips!

NRL Tips

View More

NRL tips for every match of the 2025 NRL season. The National Rugby League is the biggest rugby competition in Australia and we have previews and NRL betting tips for every game, plus best bets for special events like the State of Origin.