Saturday Horse Racing: 2015 Villiers Stakes Preview & Betting Tips

December 11th 2015, 1:26pm, By: tim_tips

Our resident horse racing expert Tim is back once again to bring you some more great horse racing betting tips.

Those that have followed Tim's work, either on Twitter or through his subscription service at Tim's Tips, will know that Tim brings excellent form and great experience in the industry. Tim will be providing previews and analysis of feature races, with regular articles each Saturday and we suggest you punt at one of bookmakers we consider the best Australian sports betting sites

Inglis Villiers Stakes 1600m - Group 2

The Group 2 Villiers Stakes over the mile is the feature race on the card at Randwick on Saturday and we have a huge field of 20 runners set to line up.

At the time of writing the Randwick track is rated a Soft 5 after 6mm of rain on Wednesday night but with fine weather and 35 degrees predicted on Friday I think we'll see the track somewhere around the Good 3 or 4 range come Saturday.

With 20 runners you can guarantee the race will be run at a good tempo, and there's certainly no shortage of speed horses in this field. Rhythm To Spare looks the likely leader from the good barrier, while Ninth Legion, Moral Victory and possibly Puccini could come across from wider draws. God's In Him and Frespanol should use their good barriers to take up a handy position on speed too.

Plenty of runners to get through so we will keep the comments for each runner short:

ITS SOMEWHAT: Returned with a good performance first up under a big weight. Has the quality but lumps the top weight again and draws poorly.

I'M IMPOSING: Second up here off an eight week break. Likely to need another run before stepping up to 2000m and will have to come from last here.

NINTH LEGION: Hasn't won for a long time. Has to carry 58kg again here and will have to push forward from the wide gate. Pass.

PUCCINI: Group 1 performer in NZ but struggled in Australia. Bounced sharply back to form at his first start for Darren Weir last start and despite the wide barrier he could feature in the finish.

RED EXCITEMENT: Talented horse having his third run back from a long spell. Ran reasonably well last start but from the from the wide barrier he faces a tough task.

RHYTHM TO SPARE: Comes into this with consecutive wins over the mile under his belt which included the Kilmore Cup. Looks the likely leader from barrier 8. Roughie.

PHEIDON: Going horribly and I reckon it's days with Gai Waterhouse are limited. Couldn't touch it.

TINTO: Had plenty to do from a long way back last start. Comes into this 3rd up from a long spell. Any rain would help but he's drawn to get a great run. Place hope.

MALICE: Racing fairly consistently in similar races. Has had a month since his last run so should be fresh. Drawn to get a beautiful run and shapes as an eachway hope.

FRESPANOL: Beaten as favourite in the Festival Stakes where he settled much further back than he normally does. From barrier 1 he should be very handy. Good chance to bounce back.

CASINO DANCER: Won two Group 3's and placed in a Group 2 since the blinkers went on. Drawn well, might need a touch of luck, but can't knock her form. Eachway.

MIGHTY LUCKY: Surprise winner of the Festival Stakes but he was peaking for that race. This is harder and steps up to 1600m which could test him. Happy to risk.

TELEPATHIC: Won dominantly as odds on favourite last start. Drops back from 2000m to 1600m interestingly. Wide draw shouldn't matter too much and she's a chance.

ZANBAGH: Come back in great order with a win first up and a good 4th in the Festival Stakes last start. Drawn terrible but expect her to be running on.

GOD'S IN HIM: Narrow defeat in a Group 2 two starts ago with this weight. Had to carry 61kg last start first up off an eight week break. Much better suited here with 53kg. Great chance with the good draw.

HAPPY CLAPPER: Took a big step up last start when carrying 60.5kg to win over 1500m. 3rd up here and back down to 53kg, drawn perfectly and rates a huge chance.

TIMELESS PRINCE: Placed here last start in a small field in lower grade. Aiming too high here.

KEEPIT TO YOURSELF: Going horribly.

MORAL VICTORY: 2nd in the Goulburn Cup last start and led all the way over 1400m here three starts back where he beat Telepathic. Will be one of the leaders and could run a cheeky race.

DREAM FOLK: Not good enough.

Summary

Good race with a few progressive types. Despite the large number of runners I really think there's only a few genuine winning chances. 

Under the race conditions I'm happy to stick with the very progressive Happy Clapper who drops down the 53kg after winning under 61kg last start. He draws to get a fantastic run from barrier 6 just behind the speed and he should be hard to beat. 

Behind him I think the likes of God's In Him, It's Somewhat and Telepathic should all run well and are all winning chances, while Puccini, Frespanol and Casino Dancer all rate well at bigger odds.

1st HAPPY CLAPPER
2nd FRESPANOL
3rd GOD'S IN HIM
4th CASINO DANCER

 

Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly.  Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!

TIPS

2019 Railway Stakes Preview & Betting Tips

The Group 1 Railway Stakes kicks off the three-week Masters Carnival in Perth, with three $1million Group 1s over the next three weekends. Today's 1600m handicap sees a field of 16 line up, and we've given our thoughts on every runner here! read more

Ascot Racing Tips: 2019 Railway Stakes Day

The Perth racing carnival begins this Saturday, November 23rd, with the G1 Railway Stakes meeting at Ascot! There's nine races on the card, which also features four other Stakes races. Check out our preview and betting tips for every race here! read more

2019 Ballarat Cup Day Preview & Betting Tips

The Ballarat Cup headlines racing in Victoria this Saturday, with a huge 10-race set down for their standalone meeting. Check out our thoughts on every race here! read more

2019-20 NBA Betting Tips: Saturday 23rd November

Massive 10 game slate in the NBA this Saturday, the 23rd of November and we have a full preview and betting tips for some of the key matchups here! read more

ARTICLES

Understanding Betfair Staking Plans

In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more


Understanding the Betfair Markets

In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more


Understanding Back and Lay Betting on Betfair

Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more


Major Harness Races in Australasia

There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more


BLOGS

Boosted Odds For Melbourne Cup Punters

The Melbourne Cup has transformed from the race that stops the nation into the race that stops the world in recent years, and Palmerbet are giving punters more bang for their buck with boosted odds on all Melbourne Cup runners this Monday! read more


2019 Melbourne Cup Odds

The Melbourne Cup is known as the race that stops a nation, but is quickly becoming the race that stops the world! There's 42 horses left in contention for the 2019 Melbourne Cup, which will be held on the first Tuesday in November. Check out the latest betting odds for the race here! read more


Cox Plate Glory Awaits

Get fantastic odds of $4.50 for Te Akau Shark to finish in the top five in Saturday's Cox Plate thanks to Palmerbet. read more


The Luck of Playing the National Lottery

The lottery is one of the more fun ways to gamble, and who hasn't dreamt of one day striking it mega-rich by landing a jackpot! What are the odds of winning the lottery, and is there anything you can do to improve your odds? We take a look at the luck involved with playing the lottery! read more


PlayUp

Palmerbet