The NBA regular season wraps up with a big Monday slate, with plenty of important games on the schedule. Games tip off from 10:40am AEST, so here are three matchups that look like theyve got some real value based on how the teams have been tracking lately, current standings, ATS trends and the latest injury news.
NBA Betting Tips: Monday, April 13th 2026
Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder (10:40am AEST)
Phoenix heads to Oklahoma City as underdogs in a classic final day scenario where key personnel are missing across the board. The Suns have been a bit inconsistent lately, sitting at 44 wins and 37 losses overall with a very solid 46 and 35 against the spread record. They have shown fight on the road against strong Western Conference sides but will be heavily depleted today. Devin Booker, Grayson Allen, Royce O'Neale, and Dillon Brooks have all been ruled out, leaving Phoenix to rely on a makeshift rotation.
Oklahoma City sits at a dominant 64 wins and 17 losses, clearly establishing themselves as the premier team in the league for most of the season. However, their 39 and 42 ATS mark shows they have sometimes been overvalued by bookmakers. The Thunder are taking zero risks with their playoff position secured, ruling out almost their entire core. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Jalen Williams will all watch from the sidelines.
With both teams deploying reserve units, this becomes a genuine coin flip. The 5.5 point line on the Suns feels like the clear value play here. Phoenix has covered in similar spots when opponents are severely depleted, and the total lack of chemistry for the Thunder bench unit should keep this contest close.
Phoenix Suns +5.5
$1.90 (1 unit)
Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs (10:40am AEST)
Denver makes the trip to San Antonio as heavy underdogs, and a quick glance at the inactive list explains exactly why. The Nuggets sit at 53 wins and 28 losses and have put together a great campaign with a 43 and 38 against the spread record. However, they are completely punting this final game. Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, and Tim Hardaway are all confirmed out, while Nikola Jokic is listed as questionable and highly unlikely to see significant minutes. This leaves Denver relying entirely on deep bench options and two way players.
San Antonio enters at 62 wins and 19 losses and has been rolling at home, looking like the team to beat in the West with a highly profitable 46 and 34 ATS mark. They have won five straight games and are playing with incredible rhythm on both ends of the floor. While Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, and Stephon Castle are listed as questionable, the Spurs still have far more available rotation talent than the visiting Nuggets.
This is a spot where the home dominance and current form of the Spurs should shine through. The 11.5 point line is substantial, but San Antonio has been covering these types of games with ease in their own building, especially against teams resting their entire starting five. Expect the Spurs to handle their business and run up the score against a depleted Denver squad.
San Antonio Spurs -11.5
$1.90 (1 unit)
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers (10:40am AEST)
Golden State heads to Los Angeles as underdogs in an intriguing Western Conference battle. The Warriors sit at 37 wins and 44 losses, reflecting a tough campaign that is mirrored by their poor 35 and 46 against the spread record. While they are expected to start Stephen Curry and Kristaps Porzingis today, they have struggled heavily on the road and will be missing key defensive pieces, with Draymond Green carrying a questionable tag and others completely ruled out.
The Clippers are at 41 wins and 40 losses, and have been fairly steady at home, matching their straight up record with a 41 and 40 ATS mark. They have shown solid defensive effort in recent home stands. Led by Darius Garland and Brook Lopez, with Kawhi Leonard an outside chance to play, they have a deep enough rotation to exploit the perimeter defence of the Warriors. It is worth noting the Clippers have dropped four of their last five, making this a crucial bounce back spot to build momentum.
This one projects as a highly competitive scrap with the total set at 224.5 points. The Clippers have the home court advantage and a more balanced starting five. The 6.0 point spread gives them just enough room to work, and they have the interior presence to disrupt Golden State. Lean towards Los Angeles to grind out the cover in what should be a solid contest.
Los Angeles Clippers -6.0
$1.90 (1 unit)
