Week 11 arrives as one of the most consequential Sundays (Monday AEDT) of the 2025 season so far, with division battles, playoff positioning, and star quarterbacks in the spotlight. The slate features three heavyweight matchups that could reshape the playoff picture and set the tone for the back half of the season.
NFL Week 11 Monday Betting Tips
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
8.05am (AEDT)
Los Angeles come into this game at 7 and 2, firmly in the mix for one of the top seeds in the NFC. Matthew Stafford has been in vintage form, delivering big throws and continuing to show great chemistry with his key receivers. The Rams offence under Sean McVay remains dynamic, blending tight end sets with deep shots, and their defence has stayed disciplined in limiting explosive plays.
Seattle are also 7 and 2 and building momentum through a balanced run game and opportunistic defence. Sam Darnold has made smart decisions behind an improving offensive line, and the Seahawks pass rush has been one of the league’s most consistent strengths. Their resilience in close games has kept them firmly in the NFC playoff race, and they should match up well physically with Los Angeles.
Prediction: I lean the Rams to win by a very tight margin here. Expect a proper four quarter battle where each offence trades momentum swings. Stafford’s experience in big moments and the Rams knack for converting in high leverage spots should give them the slightest of edges. Seattle will keep it close, but the home side’s late game execution feels like the difference. Either way, I think there will be points here.
Over 48.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
8.25am (AEDT)
Denver come into the week at 8 and 2 and playing with a level of composure we haven’t seen from them in years. Their defence has tightened up significantly, particularly against the pass, and Bo Nix has grown into the season with improved poise under pressure. Combined with a steady running attack, the Broncos have found a formula that allows them to control tempo and stay balanced.
Kansas City arrive at 5 and 4 and while they are not at their peak, they remain incredibly dangerous. Patrick Mahomes continues to drive this offence and has bailed them out of multiple tight finishes. The running game remains inconsistent, but the passing attack still has enough firepower to tilt a game in their favour. Even in a challenging road environment, the Chiefs rarely go quietly.
Prediction: I’m backing the Chiefs to edge it out by a late touchdown here. Denver’s defence will force long, patient drives and make Kansas City earn every inch, but Mahomes tends to find answers when the game gets tight. Expect a tense, physical battle decided by one or two late defining plays from the Chiefs passing game.
Chiefs -3.5
$1.90 (2 Units)
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles
12.20pm (AEDT)
Detroit enter at 6 and 3 and playing with genuine belief. Jared Goff has been efficient and comfortable operating within a balanced offensive structure. The Lions continue to get strong contributions from their backfield and their defence has stepped up in key moments throughout the season. They are not flashy, but they are reliable and well coached.
Philadelphia sit at 7 and 2 and continue to look like one of the NFC’s most complete teams. Their red zone offence is elite and their defence has found ways to create pressure and force turnovers when opponents get desperate. Playing at home amplifies their strengths, and they tend to rise to the occasion in heavyweight matchups.
Prediction: I give the Eagles the slight edge 27 to 24. Detroit will absolutely make this a fight and their balanced style should keep them competitive deep into the fourth quarter. But Philadelphia’s efficiency inside the 20 and their ability to generate timely defensive stops should ultimately push them over the line in a game that feels like a playoff preview.
Eagles -2.5
$1.90 (2 Units)
Other Tips
Commanders at Dolphins - Under 47.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
Bears at Vikings - Vikings -2.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
Packers at Giants - Over 43.5 ($1.91 at Dabble)
Panthers at Falcons - Falcons -3.5 ($1.91 at Dabble)
Chargers at Jaguars - Over 43.5 ($1.90 at Dabble)
Bengals at Steelers - Under 49.5 ($1.91 at Dabble)
Buccaneers at Bills - Bills -5.5 ($1.89 at Dabble)
Texans at Titans - Texans -5.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
49ers at Cardinals - Cardinals +3 ($1.89 at Dabble)
