Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Cranbourne on Friday, November 8th.
Friday night racing takes place at Cranbourne this week as we lead into the final day of the Melbourne Cup carnival tomorrow.
Luke Krahe has taken a look at some of the key races on the program below!
(1) Boss Rock will start favourite in the opener but he looks a really good risk to me. He has placed at his last two without looking like winning, he is very one paced and will keep plugging away, but an 11-start maiden that doesn’t really have a turn-of-foot is not the kind of horses I like to be backing as favourite in a 2000m maiden. (10) Miracle looks a better betting proposition on an each-way basis, she has settled closer in her last two runs and looked the winner at both of them before being run down late. She drops back from a 0-58 (admittedly maidens can sometimes have more horses with upside) back to a maiden, handles the soft tracks well and should have the tactical advantage of being in front of the favourite early. If she can give a kick early in the straight she will be hard to run down.
I expect that (5) Open Minded will start in red figures here so if you can snap up anything better than evens throughout the day, I suggest steam in. (currently $2.20 at time of writing Thursday). He debuted at a very short quote in a Hamilton maiden two weeks ago, showed good speed to lead and bolted in by about 4 lengths. His official SP was $1.55, was under a grip most of the race and looks to have plenty of potential. That was a heavy track at Yarra Valley so the soft suits, as will any more rain around between now and the off. If the leaders are prominent and look to have any advantage in the earlier races, he could start well into the red.
The first leg of the Quaddie looks an open affair, play wide. (2) Rakau Whero is no star but he is racing so consistently and will make his own luck. He SP’d as favourite in a similar race at Sale last start, worked early wide to eventually lead at the mile marker and although he was all out on the line, held-on for a narrow win. He does his best racing when up on the speed and should be able to take up a spot form the good draw in an open race. At the double figure odds he looks a great each-way bet. (4) Spensierato is a must include for the Quaddie, she has placed at her last five, will be up on the speed, handles the wet and gets a couple of gear changes. There is not much between these two in my opinion but the price difference is the key.
(9) Victoria Star is an interesting runner for the Greg Eurell stable here on track, he started his career in NZ where he was undefeated after two runs. He was shipped across to Hong Kong and didn’t really fire, obviously had some issues as he was then off the scene for 77 weeks before making his way here. He had excuses fresh at the Valley and the went to Pakenham on the soft track and ran on hard to score in a race no easier than this. I liked the turn-of-foot he showed and the tenacity to fight when challenged, drawn well in two he steps up in trip and hopefully is saved for just one run. (11) In Heart’s Wake will be near the top of the betting, she was brilliant winning a 64 at Bendigo on a good track then was very plain at the Valley last time in a harder race. With Jamie Kah off, the wide draw and the uncertainty of the map, the only positive with her looks to be the soft track, happy to take her on.
It looks a tough race on paper to finish the night and I would be playing very wide in the Quaddie. (4) Immelman gets the nod on an each-way basis, he is second-up today, beaten as favourite second-up last campaign but ran on hard to narrowly miss. He resumed at Mornington in a similar race to this, got well back which is his pattern but ran through the line well beaten just under three lengths. There have already been two subsequent winners come through that race, including Rakau Whero who is engaged earlier in the night. He gets a couple of minor gear changes, he will get back to near last but there looks enough speed on paper that the back-markers will have their chance and stepping up to the mile is ideal.
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