With so much hype surrounding the monster preliminary final between Richmond and Collingwood this Friday night, we thought it only right that we provide you with not just one, but TWO full betting previews for the match! You can check out our standard preview and tips for the game here or continue reading for our special player props and other bets article below!
The game gets underway at 7.50pm from the MCG with the winner booking their ticket for next weekend’s AFL Grand Final!
The first market we really like involve the reigning Brownlow medallist Dustin Martin. The star midfielder/forward has booted six goals throughout the Tigers and Pies last three meetings and only averages a shade over 24 touches per game in those three games. This is well below his season average of 25.7 in 2018 and his averages of 31 and 29 in 2016 and 2017 respectively.
With a bit of an injury concern leading into the matchup and reportedly having very limited participation in practice throughout the last two weeks, we think Martin will spend plenty of time forward tonight. Back him in to kick at least two goals and we like the unders on total possessions as well.
Adam Treloar missed the Pies last clash against Richmond through a hamstring injury, however, he has had some dominant performances against the Tigers since coming to Collingwood from GWS. In their two meetings in 2016 the midfielder racked up 32 touches and 97 fantasty points and 24 touches and 115 fantasy points respectively. Last season Treloar had another monster game with 35 touches and 127 fantasy points while earlier this year he racked up 42 touches and 147 points.
That’s an average of 121.5 points in his four games against the Tigers while playing for Collingwood. It seems that most of the Tiger attention in the midfield goes elsewhere, possibly to Pendlebury or Sidebottom. With that average his line of 103.5 seems low.
Throughout their first two finals games, de Goey has looked the only reliable Collingwood forward. He has kicked five goals in the two finals so far and we think if the Pies are to remain competitive tonight he’ll need to have a big outing along with plenty of goals from their midfield. He was easily the most targeted player in the Collingwood forward line against the Giants last weekend and should see plenty of the ball again. We like him to kick the most Pies goals Friday night.
The MCG has packed in over 100,000 people a total of 20 times for an AFL/VFL match. 13 of those games have involved either Richmond or Collingwood and the last time these two teams met, 88,180 packed into the MCG which was the 40th highest attendance in AFL/VFL history. Hard to imagine that they don’t topple the 100,000 mark tonight as ticket on eBay were already selling for over $400 each very early in the week. Great value for the overs here.
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