2017-18 NBA Playoffs Betting Tips: Western Conference Finals

May 14th 2018, 12:05pm, By: SmitsTips

2017/18 NBA Western Conference Finals Preview and Betting Tips

The script has gone to plan and it’s the two heavy weights in the West going at it for a chance to play in this year’s NBA Finals! The Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets are the deserving Western Conference Finalists after making light work of their respective opponents in the Semi-Finals. It promises to be a terrific series, so let’s get stuck into it!

The Houston Rockets finished the regular season with the best record in the NBA and will deservingly hold home-court advantage in their series battle with the Warriors. The Rockets were able to contain Karl-Anthony Towns and the Timberwolves in the first round, winning the series comfortably in 5 games, before taking care of a Donovan Mitchell led Utah Jazz in the second round, again in 5 games.

The Golden State Warriors didn’t quite have the dominant regular season that we’ve become accustomed to over the past couple of years, although they did still finish with 58 wins and the third best record in the NBA (second in the West). The Curry-less Warriors breezed through the first round against the Kawhi-less Spurs in 5 games, before getting Curry back for the second round against Anthony Davis and the Pelicans, where they again took out the series in 5 games.

The Rockets had the edge on the Warriors during their regular season meetings, taking the series 2-1, although most of the meetings coming early in the season so it’s hard to know how much we can actually take out of them.

Interesting facts:

  • The Rockets are 50-5 in 2017/18 when the ‘Big 3’ (Chris Paul, James Harden, Clint Capela) are playing together.
  • The Warriors have demolished teams in the third quarter this season. They have a +377 differential in 82 games in the 3rd, which was the best of any quarter in the NBA.
  • The Rockets have been the best first quarter team this season, outscoring teams by 360 combined points in 82 first quarters this season.
  • The ‘Hampton 5’ (Curry, Durant, Green, Thompson, Igoudala) outscored the Pelicans 113-64 in 37 minutes when they were on the floor together… The Rockets are yet to face this lineup this season.
  • In the post-season, Trevor Ariza has taken 99% of his shots from the restricted area or 3-point range, which is the highest among 85 players with at least 50 field goal attempts. He also leads the post-season in total plus-minus at +120.
  • The Warriors have allowed 4.9 fewer points per 100 possessions than they allowed in the regular season (104.2), which is the biggest drop from the regular season to the playoffs by any team.


Despite all of the regular season success for the Rockets in 2017/18, I believe that the fully-fit Warriors just have too many weapons for them to handle. The Warriors cruised through the regular season, relying solely on their offensive firepower to get them wins, however, they’re now locked in on the defensive end and will make life extremely difficult for the Rockets in transition. If the Rockets are to have any chance of clinching a finals berth, they’ll need to take care of home-court in the first two games. The thing is… It’s just not going to happen.

TIP: Warriors series handicap (-1.5) - $1.93 at Sportsbet
BEST PROP: Top point scorer; James Harden -  $1.85 at Sportsbet



2018-19 NBA Betting Tips: Tuesday 22nd January

There's a massive 11 game slate of NBA on Tuesday, with games kicking off as early as 4am AEDT! We preview the value games of the day and provide our betting tips! read more

2019 AFC Asian Cup: Australia vs Uzbekistan Betting Tips

The Socceroos will continue their Asian Cup run on Tuesday morning when they face Uzbekistan in the Round of 16. We take a look at the game, starting at 1am AEDT, and give our betting tips here read more

2018-19 Big Bash League (BBL08): Round 10 Preview & Betting Tips

Round 10 of the Big Bash League sees the top of the table Hobart Hurricanes and the reigning champion Adelaide Strikers both in action twice! We take a look at all four games of the round and give our betting tips below read more

Flemington Racing Tips, Saturday January 19th

We've called in the services of one of Tasmania's finest, horse racing expert Tristan Heffernan, to give us a preview of Saturday racing from Flemington. Here's Tristan's preview of every race and horse racing betting tips for Saturday, January 19th 2019. read more


Australian Bookmaker Tennis Retirement Rules

With the Australian tennis season in full swing, we take a look at the variety of different betting terms and conditions surrounding retirements in tennis matches at the major Australian sports betting sites. read more

Streaming Live Sports on Australian Betting Sites

Here's a run down of which Australian sports betting sites offer live streaming action of your favourite sports! read more

Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites insures safe and successful online betting for punters as well as offering the best betting options in Australia. read more

How Does Spread Betting Work?

Spread betting has finally made it's way to Australia through new betting agency Pointsbet, we give you a quick guide to spread betting here. read more


2019 AFLW Season Fixture

The 2019 AFLW season will see two new teams enter the competition as North Melbourne and Geelong get set to embark on their AFLW journey. We take a look at the full 2019 season fixture here! read more

BBL08 Team Preview: Perth Scorchers

Can the Perth Scorchers win a record 4th Big Bash League title in 2018-19? See our full team preview for the Scorchers in BBL08 here read more

BBL08 Team Preview: Adelaide Strikers

The Adelaide Strikers will be aiming for a successful title defence in BBL08. Can they complete the back to back or will Travis Head's international duty be a hinderance? read more

BBL08 Team Preview: Melbourne Renegades

Our 2018-19 Big Bash League team previews continue today as we take a look at last season's semi finalists the Melbourne Renegades. Can the Renegades make the finals for just the third time in BBL08? read more

BetEasy Sky Racing