2018 Brownlow Vote Predictions Round 7

Mon, 07/05/2018 - 8:22pm, Brownlow Bandit

One again Before You Bet is back with our rolling Brownlow Medal Tracker for the 2018 season. We’ll be providing comments for every game of the season, along with our vote predictions to help with your projections for the 2018 AFL season.

Our Brownlow predictions are one of the most popular aspects of the site with punters able to scoop huge profits using the information found in these pages. You’ll be able to stay up to date with our current Top 20 2018 Brownlow Medal leaderboardwhile there will be links to every single round-by-round voting posted there.

For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can form a 'range' for each player (ie a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.

If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great incentives for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2018 Brownlow Round 7 Vote Predictions below! 

2018 Brownlow Medal Predicted Votes – Round 7

Geelong 14.9.93 def GWS 4.8.32

Geelong were too strong against a disappointing, but undermanned GWS side but votes might be tricky to decide. Tim Kelly (30 disposals) and Mitch Duncan (33 disposals, 8 marks) were the big ball winners, while Joel Selwood (25 disposals, 9 tackles) and Patrick Dangerfield (27 disposals, 2 goals) were good without being dominant. Tom Hawkins was the best forward in the game with 15 dispoals, 8 marks and 4 goals. For the Giants, Dylan Shiel was good with 32 touches.

Tim Kelly – 3
Mitch Duncan - 2
Patrick Dangerfield – 0.5
Tom Hawkins – 0.5

 

Western Bulldogs 11.15.81 def Gold Coast 10.12.72

The Bulldogs escaped with a narrow win, with Jack Macrae continuing his superb form with 40 disposals and 8 tackles. Toby McLean (33 disposals, 13 tackles) and Lachie Hunter (34 disposals, 9 marks) were also prolific. Jarrod Witts was enormous for the visitors with 21 disposals and 58 hitouts to monster the ruck contests.

Jack Macrae – 3
Lachie Hunter - 2
Jarrod Witts – 0.5
Toby McLean – 0.5

 

Essendon 10.7.67 def by Hawthorn 13.12.90

After returning from suspension, James Sicily was the best player on the ground with 29 disposals, 14 marks and a goal. Tom Mitchell had 29 disposals and 10 marks, and was well supported by Isaac Smith (20 disposals, 2 goals) and Jarryd Roughead (16 disposals, 3 goals). Tom Bellchambers was best for the Bombers with 20 disposals, 32 hitouts and a goal, while Dyson Heppell had 28 touches and a goal.

James Sicily - 3
Tom Mitchell - 1
Isaac Smith – 1
Jarryd Roughead - 1

 

West Coast 16.6.102 def Port Adelaide 9.6.60

A strong win for West Coast has elevated them towards the top of the table with Jack Redden starring with 32 disposals, 7 marks and a goal. Andrew Gaff was prolific with 35 touches, Mark Hutchings had 27 disposals and 10 marks, while Jack Darling was a dominant big man with 18 touches, 10 marks and 3 goals.

Jack Redden – 3
Jack Darling – 2
Mark Hutchings – 0.5
Andrew Gaff – 0.5

 

Sydney 9.12.66 def by North Melbourne 9.14.68

A big upset win by the Roos up in Sydney, with Mason Wood kicking a match-winning goal in the dying moments to cap off a big return to the AFL with 17 disposals, 9 marks and 4 goals. Shaun Higgins setup the win early before finishing with 31 touches and a goal, while Ben Jacobs amassed 29 disposals and 9 tackles. Josh Kennedy was best for the hosts with 31 disposals and 9 tackles.

Mason Wood – 2.5
Shaun Higgins – 2.5
Ben Jacobs – 0.5
Josh Kennedy – 0.5

 

Adelaide 19.11.125 def Carlton 10.10.70

Adelaide spanked the winless Carlton and should sweep the votes here. Rory Laird (32 disposals), Richard Douglas (28 disposals, 7 marks, 2 goals) and Matt Crouch (32 dispsosals) all got plenty of the ball and fed Mitch McGovern who had 16 touches, 9 marks and a career-best 5 goals. Ed Curnow was the best for the Blues with 26 disposals and 14 tackles.

Mitch McGovern – 2.5
Richard Douglas – 2.5
Rory Laird – 1

 

Richmond 15.20.110 def Fremantle 4.9.33

Richmond rolled on with a big win, but it was such a good, even team performance that the standout players came from the men in purple. Nat Fyfe is back to his best and had 33 disposals, 8 marks, 4 tackles and a surprising 7 hitouts. Aaron Sandilands was the dominant big man on the ground with 48 hitouts to go with his 11 possessions, while Lachie Neale had a game-high 35 touches. Jack Graham was good for the Tigers with 24 disposals and 7 tackles, as was Kane Lambert with 25 touches and 2 goals. David Astbury (20 disposals, 14 marks) and Alex Rance (20 disposals, 8 marks) were a wall across half-back, while Dustin Martin was good, without being exceptional with his 26 touches.

Nat Fyfe - 3
Lachie Neale - 2
Kane Lambert – 1

 

St.Kilda 9.13.67 def by Melbourne 16.10.106

Melbourne had far too much class for St.Kilda with Clayton Oliver outstanding with 36 possessions, 9 clearances and a goal. Angus Brayshaw had 32 disposals and a goal in his best game for the Dees, while Jesse Hogan was again allowed to roam wild as he collected 25 disposals and 3 goals. Max Gawn solidified his spot as the best big man in the game at the moment with 20 disposals, 34 hitouts and a goal. For the Saints, Sebastian Ross had 35 touches and 7 marks to be their best, with Jack Steven useful with 29 posessions.

Clayton Oliver - 3
Angus Brayshaw - 2
Jesse Hogan – 1

 

Brisbane 18.6.114 def by Collingwood 19.7.121

Surprisingly, one of the best games of the year saw Collingwood survive a scare in a shootout against the Lions. Dayne Zorko enjoyed the freedom of no tagger with 34 disposals, 7 marks, 10 tackles, and 4 goals for a massive 176 fantasy points! Dayne Beams was also big with 31 touches and 2 goals while Stefan Martin had a great battle in the ruck to collect 28 disposals and 24 hitouts. For the Pies, Jordan de Goey was the difference with 20 touches, 7 marks and 5 goals, while Steele Sidebottom continued his strong year with 34 disposals.

Dayne Zorko – 3
Jordan de Goey – 2
Dayne Beams - 1

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