One again Before You Bet is back with our rolling Brownlow Medal Tracker for the 2018 season. We’ll be providing comments for every game of the season, along with our vote predictions to help with your projections for the 2018 AFL season.
Our Brownlow predictions are one of the most popular aspects of the site with punters able to scoop huge profits using the information found in these pages. You’ll be able to stay up to date with our current Top 20 2018 Brownlow Medal predictions and leaderboard, while there will be links to every single round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can form a 'range' for each player (ie a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great incentives for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2018 Brownlow Round 12 Vote Predictions below!
Port Adelaide 10.12.72 def Richmond 8.10.58
A big win for the Power led by midfield jets Ollie Wines (29 disposals, 12 tackles), Sam Powell-Pepper (28 disposals, 6 tackles) and a rejuvenated Chad Wingard (31 disposals, 8 tackles). Justin Westhoff set the game up in the first half with three goals and ended the match with 23 disposals and 10 hitouts.
Ollie Wines – 3
Chad Wingard – 1.5
Justin Westhoff – 1.5
Geelong 14.12.96 def North Melbourne 8.11.59
Gary Ablett continued his good form, picking up 34 disposals, 8 tackles and a goal in another best-on-ground performance. The Cats got a big win built from their stingy backline with Tom Stewart very good with 26 disposals and Mark Blicavs held Coleman Medal leader Ben Brown goal-less, while picking up 18 touches himself. It was capped off by Tom Hawkins who was a strong presence up forward with 23 touches, 11 marks and 3 goals. Shaun Higgins was best for the Roos with 30 touches and 2 goals.
Gary Ablett – 3
Tom Hawkins – 1
Mark Blicavs – 1
Shaun Higgins – 1
GWS 20.14.134 def Gold Coast 4.2.26
GWS were dominant in their biggest every AFL victory with Jeremy Cameron back to his best with 6 goals from 26 disposals and 9 marks. The midfield ran rampant with Josh Kelly (40 disposals, 7 tackles, 2 goals), Callan Ward (34 disposals, 2 goals), Lachie Whitfield (36 disposals) and Dylan Shiel (35 disposals) all suffering from leather poisoning.
Jeremy Cameron - 3
Josh Kelly - 2
Callan Ward - 1
St.Kilda 7.13.55 def by Sydney 19.12.126
The Saints continue to slump as they were thumped at home by the Swans. Skipper Josh Kennedy led from the front with 31 disposals and a goal, while Isaac Heeney was typically classy with 27 touches and a goal. George Hewett only picked up 19 possessions but he did a great job of keeping the dangerous Jack Steven to a miserable 13 touches. Lance Franklin was lively up forward with 4 goals from 18 disposals and 12 marks.
Josh Kennedy – 3
Isaac Heeney – 2
Lance Franklin - 1
Brisbane 8.14.62 def by Essendon 12.12.84
Essendon overcame an early injury to Dyson Heppell to cling onto a tight win. Zach Merrett (29 disposals, 8 tackles) and David Myers (28 disposals) won plenty of the ball, while Jake Stringer continued his recent form with 22 disposals, 9 tackles and 3 goals. However best-on-ground was Lions full-back Harris Andrews who was a rock with 24 disposals and 12 marks, but it wasn’t enough to get the win.
Harris Andrews - 3
Zach Merrett – 1.5
Jake Stringer – 1.5
Fremantle 10.11.71 def Adelaide 9.14.68
Two depleted teams, but somebody had to win, with Freo just getting over the line. Adam Cerra was thrown to half-back and the move worked as the youngster picked up 30 disposals. Connor Blakely also found the ball 30 times, while Lachie Neale had 32 touches. It was capped off by the work of Brennan Cox as Freo finally found a forward! Cox kicked 4 goals from 19 disposals and 7 marks.
Adam Cerra – 3
Brennan Cox – 2
Connor Blakely – 0.5
Lachie Neale – 0.5
Melbourne 14.7.91 def by Collingwood 20.13.133
After some average games over the weekend, we were treated to a fantastic shootout in the Queen’s Birthday clash. Jordan De Goey was the catalyst with 30 disposals, include 12 inside 50s, and 7 tackles, but his efficiency did let him down. Steele Sidebottom (32 disposals) and Adam Treloar (32 disposals, 1 goal) were typically prolific, and big man Mason Cox had his best game with 5 goals from 16 touches and 8 big marks. Tom McDonald played a lone hand for the Dees with 6 goals, 16 disposals and 8 marks.
Jordan De Goey – 3
Mason Cox – 2
Tom McDonald – 0.5
Steele Sidebottom – 0.5
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