Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Royal Randwick on Saturday, September 1st, featuring the Group 2 Tramway Stakes, Group 2 Chelmsford Stakes and Group 2 Furious Stakes.
We have nine races on a Good 4 track with the rail out 10m. Rails in run could be the place to be and it will be important to monitor the way the track is playing throughout the meeting to see if it’s possible to make ground in the straight.
We’ve got betting tips and comments for every race below. You can also tune in to Episode 49 of the Before You Bet Podcast, featuring previews of every feature race across Caulfield and Randwick!
Best Bet: Race 6 #9 Lanciato EW
Best Value: Race 2 #4 Instant De Reve
Good little race to kick things off here and there’s been plenty said about (9) More Sundays. She won easily on debut at Geelong three weeks ago and followed that with a sizzling trial at Rosehill. She gets her chance to back up all the talk today and she’s drawn well in barrier 5. I think she’s the top pick but clearly short enough at $1.95 now. The form out of that race at Geelong has hardly been franked and she faces a much stiffer test today, but she did look to have plenty left in the tank on debut. (4) Ranier brings a decent form line to the race after running 2nd to Miss Fabulass first up at Canterbury. Miss Fabulass is another highly spruiked horse but even the form out of that race is somewhat skeptical with the horse that ran 3rd since failing in midweek company. (5) Aristocratic Miss performed well as a juvenile and returned with a 4L win on the synthetic track at Geelong. Synthetic form is always very untrustworthy but her form in Sydney last prep warrants her being considered. Is 1200m a touch sharp? (10) Symi one at big odds to throw in.
Four main chances that stand out here. The favourite (9) Streets Of Avalon comes up from Melbourne after posting wins at Caulfield and Moonee Valley. He’s in flying form and can go on with it here, but this is probably slightly tougher than what he’s been facing down South and Fred Kersley has his first ride in Sydney on this horse. There’s a couple of little negatives there. The horse I’m most interested in is (4) Instant De Reve at $13. He’s second up after resuming over 1400m at Caulfield. Up to 1600m here and draws well in barrier 1 with strong rider Tye Angland aboard. Looks suited in this race and could improve significantly. Stablemate and fellow import (5) Abdon resumes with winkers on for the first time and Hugh Bowman in the saddle. He ran 4th on his Australian debut back in April and this will be his second prep here so that could see him start to show something. (6) Souchez is ready to win third up from a spell.
Highway handicap here and there’s two that stand out. (3) Cisco Bay comes out of two Highway races, the latest of which he ran 2nd in. Gets a different run today from barrier 10 as opposed to the suck run he enjoyed from barrier 1 last start but Highway form is often the best form for these races. (5) Safe Landing doesn’t bring Highway form to the race but this horse did kick off its career in a couple of midweek metropolitan races, where he placed on both occasions, before going back to the bush to win by 6L at Goulburn last start. Will go forward from the wide gate and Kerrin McEvoy is a strong jockey booking. Think he’s a great price at $6.
Another week, another Sydney staying race. (6) All Too Soon comes off a dominant win over 1500m last week at Rosehill. Steps up sharply to 2000m today which isn’t necessarily ideal but he goes well third up, comes down significantly in weight and finds a suitable race. (1) Brimham Rocks ran well behind the impressive Avilius first up and that horse then came out and won again. He’s had a trial since that first up run in readiness for the step up to 2000m today and the further he goes, the better he will get. Looks a strong chance. (3) Goathland finished down the track first up but he met a pretty smart one that day and started as a $101 chance. Better suited second up and up to 2000m. Blow out chance at $21. (4) Just Shine was luckless over 2400m last start where he never got a run in the straight. Back down to 2000m today, which isn’t easy to do, but he’s drawn well and didn’t have a hard run at all last start. Interesting to note (8) The Lord Mayor was very well backed first up over 1400m but did nothing. Has trialed since and steps up to 2000m today with James McDonald taking over from the apprentice. Keep an eye on the market.
Looks a match race between the two Everest horses (1) Redzel and (5) Invincible Star here. Both resume from a spell having trialed well. Redzel has had two trials and won his latest one in good style. He carries 60.5kg here and is likely to sit behind the hot tempo expected up front, much like he did when he won the G2 Challenge Stakes over this track and distance last prep. Invincible Star has been off the scene since running 2nd in the G1 Coolmoore Stud Stakes back in November. The form out of that race is obviously very hot with the winner Merchant Navy since winning a G1 sprint at Royal Ascot. This mare has also had the two trials to prepare for today’s race, the latest of which she won by 10L. We should get a good guide as to how much of a genuine Everest chance she is after today.
Keen on (9) Lanciato here who looks a decent each way bet at $5.50, provided horses are able to make ground up to this point. This horse ran terrific first up behind the likes of Pierata and Kementari, and he’s undefeated in three second up runs. He’ll be coming from a long way back but will be hitting the line hard. (1) Le Romain was very good when winning first up over 1200m but he really did get absolutely everything go his way in that race. He’ll do it a bit tougher from barrier 10 today but he’s finished in the top two in 11 of his 14 starts at the track and has obvious claims. (11) Dixie Blossoms could be the value at near double figure odds. She’s got a great first up record, including a win last prep. She’s undefeated at the track and distance and draws well. (12) Tom Melbourne has trialed well and draws well for today with the rail out 10m.
Tricky sort of race. (10) Cabeza De Vaca ran well behind WInx first up and has a terrific first up record with three wins and a 2nd from four starts. He ran 2nd over this track and distance in similar company last preparation and he’ll jump straight to the front from barrier 3. Could be a good each way bet but the one query is his tendency last preparation to mix his form with each run. (13) Single Gaze makes her stable debut for Chris Waller and has the blinkers applied first up today. She draws well and has won two from three at the distance and that gear change makes me wonder if he’s set her to win this fresh for her new owner. She’s also had three trials leading into the race. (14) Sedanzer has won eight of her 18 career starts and if she were second up here she’d be a reasonable chance but she might find them too good first up. (15) Unforgotten finished off very nicely first up behind Winx and looks to have returned in fantastic order. She won in Group 2 company second up last preparation over 1500m so even though her best is over further than this, she might well be classy enough to win this on her way to the Spring features in Melbourne. Gets her chance from barrier 5. (16) Patrick Erin could be the blowout chance at $34 second up.
Very even fillies race. Excited to see the return of (3) Pure Elation who returns after suffering a bleed last time we saw her, which was after she won the Group 2 Percy Sykes Stakes at this track and distance in April. There’s always a slight query over horses returning from bleeding attacks but she’s in the right stable and has shown a huge amount of ability thus far. Barrier 1 helps her and she may be vulnerable first up but we’re getting each way odds. (1) Oohood was a touch disappointing first up but she may have been in the wrong part of the track and she gets blinkers applied for the first time today. She can bounce back if she can step cleaner from the good draw. (2) Fiesta won the Silver Shadow Stakes first up at his track and distance and can go close again. (4) Outback Barbie draws poorly here but should have won first up when running 2nd to Fiesta. (8) Pretty In Pink is an interesting runner to include having saluted in both career starts during the Autumn. They were on provincial tracks but they were both convincing wins and her recent trial was very quiet. Tye Angland is a strong booking. Plenty of eyes (and plenty of money) will be on (12) Miss Fabulass who backed up a super trial with a sound first up win. That was only in a midweek maiden and the form is sketchy so far so I think she’s found her right price, even though McEvoy jumps off Fiesta to ride her.
Didn’t originally have this horse on top when I first assessed the race but after a second look I’ve ended up with the Godolphin favourite (7) Best Of Days on top. His first up run behind Kaonic was completely luckless and his winning trial leading into that was styish. That was his first start in Australia and he’s better suited today down in weight and draws a touch wider. His form in the UK suggests these middle distance races might be his best trip rather than stretching out over the likes of 2400m, which brought him undone previously. If you go back through his form, he broke his maiden by 6L over 1400m, was Group 3 placed at this distance and a Group 2 winner over a mile. (5) Sir Plush steps up to 1400m third up from a spell and should be ready to show improvement. (9) Another Dollar was last seen running 2nd in the Queensland Oaks but could be competitive over the shorter trip first up here. (1) Almost Court has a fantastic first up record and is the blowout.
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