Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Bendigo, Canterbury and Belmont on Wednesday, September 12th.
Bendigo is rated a Good 4 while both Canterbury and Belmont are rated in the Soft range.
We’ve gone through all three meetings and selected a few of the races to bet in below!
Best Bet: Belmont Race 8 Regal Moon
Best Value Bet: Bendigo Race 1 Ocean Essence
Two that interest me in the first at Bendigo. (10) Prince Of Caviar was well-backed first up over the track and distance when narrowly beaten. He stays at the 1300m and gets the blinkers on for the first time today. The big Bendigo track will suit and he has absolutely no excuses today. (9) Ocean Essence is the big value in the race around $13. He ran 2nd in a Tatura trial leading into his debut, where he ran 2nd at Warracknabeal. He was comfortably beaten in that race and while that form isn’t good enough to measure up in the city, we often see Weir runners come off a defeat at a country track before measuring up in metro grade. Barrier 1 helps and it wouldn’t shock to see him go close.
(9) Global Sanction might be looking for a bit more ground than the 1400m of today’s race but she is also up to better grade than this on what we saw from her last prep. The money has certainly arrived for her to win first up here. After opening $9.50, she’s now a $3.30 chance ($4.20 still available with one bookie). Will settle back in the field from barrier 10 but look for her motoring home late. (10) Murless won on debut at Echuca before running 3rd ina four-horse field last start. Despite the small field, the form out of that race appears reasonable so perhaps save on Murless here.
(6) God Of Thunder is a horse I liked as a juvenile but he disappointed in two starts as a two-year-old. He returns as a three-year-old year after a scinitillating trial at Rosehill last week, where he led all the way to win by just under 5L. Expect him to lead here and that’s always an advantage at Canterbury, especially with the rail out 8m. Should be very hard to catch. (2) Nicco Lad looks the value at $8.50 after a good first up run behind what looks to be a talented horse. Didn’t get things to suit him that day and at the odds today I’d certainly be having something small on.
Short-priced favourite in the form of the GaiBott debutant (5) Maggie Miss who debuts after two trial wins, the latest of which was by 12.8L. The stable isn’t exactly flying right now though and there’s plenty of times that horses from this stable trial like a bomb and fail to deliver on race day. The two Waller runners are hard to split but I’m leaning toward (6) So Taken who should box seat from barrier 1 with Bowman on. She won two trials before her first up run, where she was beaten half-a-length after sitting wide without cover throughout. She’ll sit further forward in the run than stablemate (1) Press Box and the $4.80 seems a reasonable price.
With another Waller horse here in the form of (10) Plagiarist. She won first up at Kembla Grange and although that form is hardly ever reliable for metro class, it’s notable that Bowman jumps off the stablemate (3) Scream Park to take the ride on her. She won a trial leading into that first up run and has trialed since that win, which is typical of a Waller prep and with Bowman going on, the $5.00/$1.85 looks a reasonable each way bet.
The last run of (1) Kia Ora Star was fairly disappointing but he really should be winning this race such is a the weakness of opposition. Perhaps his failure last start could be put down to the Heavy track but back onto slightly better ground today should suit and the booking of William Pike is a positive after he chose not to ride him last time. No excuses not to win this.
(4) Midnight Drama has found form over this track and distance in her past two starts and finds another very winnable race today with conditions to suit. Two starts ago he won a Class 1 before being beaten a nose in Class 3 last start, with a further 4L back to the 3rd horse. Only has to repeat that performance in the same class today to go very close to winning. (3) Mr Alby is undefeated at the track and distance and steps back up in distance after dropping back to 1400m last start.
Originally I was very keen on (3) Multiverse who has recorded all three career wins at this track and distance but I’ve swung the other way and gone with (7) Regal Moon, who is first up for the new stable today. On her best form, she’s much better than these, and while a horse being transferred away from Grant and Alana Williams is always a huge query, new trainer Steele Casey has a great record. In addition to that, Regal Moon trialed recently at Lark Hill, where she ran the quickest time of the 15 heats on the day. She even ran a faster time than Material Man who is probably the best horse in WA.
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